Skyscraper Climb Predictions & Odds· 141 markets

M
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

$38k Vol.
$18k Liq.
9
Ends in 12 months

11%

Yes

W
What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

$4.2m Vol.
$163k Liq.
🔥$55k today
176
Ends in over 1 year

49%

$X

H
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

$1.8m Vol.
$72k Liq.
22
Ends in 3 months

87%

8+

S
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$950k Vol.
$115k Liq.
19
Ends in over 1 year

94%

>$1T

L
Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

$1.3m Vol.
$69k Liq.
22
Ends in over 1 year

44%

Morgan Stanley

H
Human moon landing in 2026?

Human moon landing in 2026?

$1.9m Vol.
$36k Liq.
28
Ends in 9 months

6%

Yes

L
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

$1.6m Vol.
$243k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months

90%

SpaceX

H
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

$1.1m Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

30%

14–16

W
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

$2.4m Vol.
$157k Liq.
17
Ends in 9 months

46%

2

S
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)

$664k Vol.
$86k Liq.
8
Ends in over 1 year

45%

2.0T+

S
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)

$2.9m Vol.
$208k Liq.
44
Ends in over 1 year

96%

1T+

H
How many Tornadoes in the US in March?

How many Tornadoes in the US in March?

$185k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 7 days

99%

150+

M
March 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

March 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

$225k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 7 days

64%

1.25–1.29ºC

2
2026 March 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2026 March 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

$279k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 7 days

99%

4th or lower

M
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

$7.5m Vol.
$52k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

98%

↑2k

N
Natural Disaster in 2026?

Natural Disaster in 2026?

$191k Vol.
$22k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months

30%

Yes

H
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

$677k Vol.
$16k Liq.
9
Ends in 12 months

45%

1

N
New COVID variant of concern before 2027?

New COVID variant of concern before 2027?

$230k Vol.
$7k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months

16%

Yes

M
Max Arctic sea ice extent this winter?

Weather · climate

Max Arctic sea ice extent this winter?

$44k Vol.
$5k Liq.
2
Ended

97%

14.2-14.4m sq km

9
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

$174k Vol.
$8k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months

12%

Yes