Social Policy Predictions & Odds· 520 markets
W
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
$31.1m Vol.
$439k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$31.1m Vol.$439k Liq.Ends in 9 months
9%
Yes
W
Will Trump visit North Korea by April 30?
$84k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$84k Vol.$26k Liq.Ends in 27 days
1%
Yes
W
Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
$196k Vol.
$109k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$196k Vol.$109k Liq.Ends in 9 months
93%
China
W
Will Trump visit Greenland by...?
$235k Vol.
$7k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$235k Vol.$7k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
22%
Yes
U
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?
$56k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$56k Vol.$29k Liq.Ends in 9 months
11%
Yes
W
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
$5k Vol.
$10k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$5k Vol.$10k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
26%
Yes
D
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$242k Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$242k Vol.$36k Liq.Ends in 1 day
81%
80-99
E
Epstein client list released by...?
$3.9m Vol.
$37k Liq.
666
Ends in 3 months
$3.9m Vol.$37k Liq.666Ends in 3 months
12%
Yes
S
Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner
$1.1m Vol.
$113k Liq.
7
Ends in 5 months
$1.1m Vol.$113k Liq.7Ends in 5 months
89%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
D
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?
$8k Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$8k Vol.$36k Liq.Ends in 8 days
40%
80-99
D
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$48k Vol.
$47k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
$48k Vol.$47k Liq.Ends in 5 days
46%
100-119
W
Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?
$39k Vol.
$54k Liq.
6
Ended
$39k Vol.$54k Liq.6Ended
97%
Moderates
W
What will Trump say this week? (April 5)
$27k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
$27k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 2 days
48%
Delcy / Rodriguez
U
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
$75k Vol.
$23k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$75k Vol.$23k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
53%
Yes
W
Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
$108k Vol.
$42k Liq.
4
Ended
$108k Vol.$42k Liq.4Ended
76%
Social Democrats (SD)
W
What will Trump post this week? (March 30 - April 5)
$19k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
$19k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 2 days
100%
Trump derangement / Trump deranged
N
Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Held
$6k Vol.
$18k Liq.
2
Ends in 6 months
$6k Vol.$18k Liq.2Ends in 6 months
75%
PL
M
88%
Olivia