Spac Predictions & Odds· 145 markets

O
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

28%

Yes

$263k Vol.
$10k Liq.
7
Ends in 9 months
S
SpaceX IPO by ___ ?

SpaceX IPO by ___ ?

94%

December 31

$1.4m Vol.
$193k Liq.
34
Ends in 9 months
S
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)

93%

1T+

$3.0m Vol.
$222k Liq.
42
Ends in over 1 year
S
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

7%

Successful splash down?

$1.5m Vol.
$28k Liq.
39
Ended
S
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)

46%

2.0T+

$748k Vol.
$111k Liq.
8
Ends in over 1 year
S
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap

39%

1.5T-2.0T

$1.8m Vol.
$103k Liq.
7
H
How much will SpaceX raise in its IPO?

35%

70-80B

$134k Vol.
$34k Liq.
4
T
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?

4%

Yes

$155k Vol.
$26k Liq.
3
Ends in 2 months
H
How many SpaceX launches in 2026?

How many SpaceX launches in 2026?

35%

140-159

$282k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
H
How many SpaceX launches in April?

How many SpaceX launches in April?

43%

13

$43k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 14 days
S
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

98%

SpaceX

$8k Vol.
$4k Liq.
5
Ends in over 1 year
H
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

61%

<5

$440k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
S
Space FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Space FDV above ___ one day after launch?

69%

$5M

$459k Vol.
$74k Liq.
31
Ends in 9 months
H
How many major Space Weather events this week? (April 12 - April 18)

59%

<3

$10k Vol.
$729 Liq.
1
Ends in 2 days
W
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

93%

SpaceX

$69k Vol.
$10k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
W
Which exchange will SpaceX list on?

95%

NASDAQ

$91k Vol.
$39k Liq.
S
SpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company?

3%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$5k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
S
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?

36%

Yes

$109k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

60%

Other (incl $SPCX)

$5.0m Vol.
$200k Liq.
🔥$56k today
212
Ends in over 1 year
L
Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

45%

Morgan Stanley

$1.4m Vol.
$78k Liq.
17
Ends in over 1 year