Spac Predictions & Odds· 312 markets

W
Will Chamath launch a SPAC in 2025?

Yes

$11k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended
W
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by...?

SpaceX · outer space

Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by...?

December 31

$68k Vol.
$0 Liq.
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M
Major Space Weather event this week? (March 29 - April 4)

Yes

$15k Vol.
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S
SpaceX files IPO by...?

SpaceX files IPO by...?

April 3

$132k Vol.
$0 Liq.
22
Ended
H
How many SpaceX launches in March?

12 or more

$6k Vol.
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H
How many SpaceX launches in February?

11 or more

$231k Vol.
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S
SpaceX and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?

Yes

$105k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
H
How many SpaceX launches in January?

12 or more

$147k Vol.
$0 Liq.
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S
Space public sale total commitments?

Space public sale total commitments?

>$14M

$1.1m Vol.
$0 Liq.
60
Ends in 9 months
W
Will SpaceX rescue the stranded Chinese astronauts?

No

$340k Vol.
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37
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S
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11

October 31

$136k Vol.
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12
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R
Russian nuke in space in 2024?

No

$50k Vol.
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7
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SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10

August 31

$776k Vol.
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189
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H
How many SpaceX launches in 2025?

2025 Predictions · SpaceX

How many SpaceX launches in 2025?

160-179

$507k Vol.
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12
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S
SpaceX Starship fully reusable in 2025?

No

$307k Vol.
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H
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2024?

All · Science

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2024?

4

$762k Vol.
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115
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S
SpaceX rescues stranded astronauts before March?

No

$269k Vol.
$0 Liq.
8
Ended
S
SpaceX Starship launch by Nov 18?

Breaking News · SpaceX

SpaceX Starship launch by Nov 18?

No

$95k Vol.
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28
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S
SpaceX Starship launch by March 15?

SpaceX · starship

SpaceX Starship launch by March 15?

Yes

$39k Vol.
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Ended