Starship Predictions & Odds· 105 markets
61%
Super Heavy booster explodes?
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
$403k Vol.
$21k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$403k Vol.$21k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
37%
<5
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
$101k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$101k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 9 months
40%
Yes
17%
Yes
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
$904k Vol.
$123k Liq.
18
Ends in over 1 year
$904k Vol.$123k Liq.18Ends in over 1 year
93%
>$1T
46%
Yes
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)
$652k Vol.
$98k Liq.
9
Ends in over 1 year
$652k Vol.$98k Liq.9Ends in over 1 year
47%
2.0T+
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)
$2.9m Vol.
$223k Liq.
43
Ends in over 1 year
$2.9m Vol.$223k Liq.43Ends in over 1 year
94%
1T+
In which month will SpaceX IPO?
$146k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$146k Vol.$22k Liq.Ends in 9 months
57%
June
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
$57k Vol.
$7k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
$57k Vol.$7k Liq.1Ends in over 1 year
96%
SpaceX
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
$135k Vol.
$18k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$135k Vol.$18k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
8%
Yes
SpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company?
$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$3k Vol.$2k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
4%
Yes
Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?
$1.2m Vol.
$83k Liq.
18
Ends in over 1 year
$1.2m Vol.$83k Liq.18Ends in over 1 year
40%
Goldman Sachs
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
$14.0m Vol.
$449k Liq.
257
Ends in 3 months
$14.0m Vol.$449k Liq.257Ends in 3 months
44%
>$600M
What will SpaceX's public ticker be?
$4.0m Vol.
$169k Liq.
🔥$60k today
171
Ends in over 1 year
$4.0m Vol.🔥$60k today$169k Liq.171Ends in over 1 year
63%
Other
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
$7k Vol.
$3k Liq.
5
Ends in over 1 year
$7k Vol.$3k Liq.5Ends in over 1 year
78%
SpaceX