Starship Predictions & Odds· 105 markets
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
$348k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$348k Vol.$25k Liq.Ends in 9 months
37%
5-6
61%
April 30
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
$101k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$101k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 9 months
40%
Yes
17%
Yes
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
$892k Vol.
$124k Liq.
17
Ends in almost 2 years
$892k Vol.$124k Liq.17Ends in almost 2 years
94%
>$1T
46%
Yes
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)
$649k Vol.
$91k Liq.
8
Ends in almost 2 years
$649k Vol.$91k Liq.8Ends in almost 2 years
46%
2.0T+
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)
$2.9m Vol.
$213k Liq.
42
Ends in almost 2 years
$2.9m Vol.$213k Liq.42Ends in almost 2 years
94%
1T+
52%
1.5T-2.0T
In which month will SpaceX IPO?
$146k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$146k Vol.$26k Liq.Ends in 9 months
54%
June
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
$57k Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in almost 2 years
$57k Vol.$3k Liq.1Ends in almost 2 years
96%
SpaceX
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
$135k Vol.
$18k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$135k Vol.$18k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
8%
Yes
SpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company?
$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$3k Vol.$2k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
4%
Yes
Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?
$1.2m Vol.
$89k Liq.
16
Ends in almost 2 years
$1.2m Vol.$89k Liq.16Ends in almost 2 years
36%
Goldman Sachs
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
$14.0m Vol.
$442k Liq.
254
Ends in 3 months
$14.0m Vol.$442k Liq.254Ends in 3 months
43%
>$600M
What will SpaceX's public ticker be?
$3.9m Vol.
$181k Liq.
🔥$96k today
170
Ends in almost 2 years
$3.9m Vol.🔥$96k today$181k Liq.170Ends in almost 2 years
62%
Other
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
$7k Vol.
$3k Liq.
5
Ends in almost 2 years
$7k Vol.$3k Liq.5Ends in almost 2 years
78%
SpaceX