Startups Predictions & Odds· 164 markets
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
$29.5m Vol.
$389k Liq.
🔥$557k today
20,364
Ends in about 5 hours
$29.5m Vol.🔥$557k today$389k Liq.20,364Ends in about 5 hours
0%
Yes
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
$78.6m Vol.
$1.0m Liq.
🔥$298k today
206
Ends in 9 months
$78.6m Vol.🔥$298k today$1.0m Liq.206Ends in 9 months
65%
Delcy Rodríguez
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
$12.4m Vol.
$476k Liq.
🔥$76k today
5,427
Ends in 9 months
$12.4m Vol.🔥$76k today$476k Liq.5,427Ends in 9 months
28%
Yes
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
$1.1m Vol.
$225k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$1.1m Vol.$225k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
3%
Yes
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
$31.0m Vol.
$288k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$31.0m Vol.$288k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
9%
Yes
Iran leader end of 2026?
$5.6m Vol.
$830k Liq.
70
Ends in 9 months
$5.6m Vol.$830k Liq.70Ends in 9 months
49%
Mojtaba Khamenei
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
$3.7m Vol.
$326k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$3.7m Vol.$326k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?
$126k Vol.
$126k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$126k Vol.$126k Liq.Ends in 9 months
30%
0
35%
Yes
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
$841k Vol.
$88k Liq.
29
Ends in 9 months
$841k Vol.$88k Liq.29Ends in 9 months
15%
Yes
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?
$143k Vol.
$24k Liq.
18
Ends in 9 months
$143k Vol.$24k Liq.18Ends in 9 months
22%
Yes
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?
$11k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
$11k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 2 months
7%
Yes
Will Claude go down on __ days in April?
$10k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$10k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
42%
9-11
ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?
$13k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours
$13k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in about 5 hours
2%
Yes
Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by March 31?
$126k Vol.
$10k Liq.
26
Ends in about 5 hours
$126k Vol.$10k Liq.26Ends in about 5 hours
1%
Yes
Will another country recognize Somaliland by March 31?
$151k Vol.
$11k Liq.
7
Ends in about 5 hours
$151k Vol.$11k Liq.7Ends in about 5 hours
2%
Yes
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
$4k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$4k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 9 months
18%
Yes
Will Trump issue a Gold Card by March 31?
$232k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours
$232k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in about 5 hours
1%
Yes