Taiwan Election Predictions & Odds· 101 markets
2
2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner
$54k Vol.
$33k Liq.
19
Ends in 8 months
$54k Vol.$33k Liq.19Ends in 8 months
87%
Kuomintang (KMT)
L
Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?
$10k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$10k Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in 3 months
2%
Yes
L
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?
$24k Vol.
$7k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
$24k Vol.$7k Liq.4Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes
C
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
$1.5m Vol.
$124k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$1.5m Vol.$124k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes
A
Assam Legislative Assembly Election Winner
$11k Vol.
$58k Liq.
1
Ends in 6 days
$11k Vol.$58k Liq.1Ends in 6 days
94%
BJP
C
Cyprus House of Representatives Election Winner
$8k Vol.
$25k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months
$8k Vol.$25k Liq.1Ends in about 2 months
55%
DISY
S
Politics · World
Scotland Parliamentary Election Winner
$1.6m Vol.
$124k Liq.
11
Ends in about 1 month
$1.6m Vol.$124k Liq.11Ends in about 1 month
96%
Scottish National Party
W
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
$979k Vol.
$97k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$979k Vol.$97k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
5%
Yes
W
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
$3k Vol.
$68k Liq.
Ends in about 1 year
$3k Vol.$68k Liq.Ends in about 1 year
14%
Yes
W
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
$135k Vol.
$237k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
$135k Vol.$237k Liq.Ends in 6 months
6%
Yes
H
Hungary Election: TISZA % of Popular Vote
$36k Vol.
$67k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 days
$36k Vol.$67k Liq.1Ends in 9 days
28%
54%+
W
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
$2.1m Vol.
$216k Liq.
🔥$118k today
Ends in 3 months
$2.1m Vol.🔥$118k today$216k Liq.Ends in 3 months
3%
Yes
W
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
$167k Vol.
$227k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
$167k Vol.$227k Liq.Ends in over 1 year
21%
Yes
W
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
$14.7m Vol.
$536k Liq.
🔥$359k today
71
Ends in 9 months
$14.7m Vol.🔥$359k today$536k Liq.71Ends in 9 months
10%
Yes
T
Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election (Smaller Brackets)
$99k Vol.
$28k Liq.
57
Ended
$99k Vol.$28k Liq.57Ended
44%
59-60%
H
Hungary Election: Fidesz-KDNP % of popular vote
$36k Vol.
$49k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
$36k Vol.$49k Liq.Ends in 9 days
28%
40-44%
H
Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?
$5k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
$5k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in 9 days
25%
Yes
H
Hungary Election: Fidesz-KDNP wins___seats?
$181k Vol.
$88k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 days
$181k Vol.$88k Liq.1Ends in 9 days
86%
60+
T
44%
55-60%
H
Hungary Election: TISZA wins___seats?
$83k Vol.
$98k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 days
$83k Vol.$98k Liq.3Ends in 9 days
79%
90+