Tech Policy Predictions & Odds· 115 markets
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?
$45k Vol.
$9k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$45k Vol.$9k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
17%
Yes
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?
$7k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$7k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes
What will Bitcoin outperform in March?
$100k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours
$100k Vol.$33k Liq.Ends in about 4 hours
100%
Gold
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 2026?
$0 Vol.
$127 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$0 Vol.$127 Liq.Ends in about 1 month
82%
Up
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 2026?
$6k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours
$6k Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in about 4 hours
7%
Up
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?
$10k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 11 months
$10k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 11 months
82%
Up
GPU rental prices (H100) hit___ by April 30?
$311k Vol.
$37k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$311k Vol.$37k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
59%
↑ $2.75
Either Tate brother arrested by...?
$1k Vol.
$4k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$1k Vol.$4k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
23%
June 30
Sports · Basketball
California Baptist Lancers vs. Utah Tech Trailblazers (W)
$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$0 Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
California Baptist Lancers
38%
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
$58k Vol.
$0 Liq.
🔥$58k today
Ended
$58k Vol.🔥$58k today$0 Liq.Ended
Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
$19k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 5 minutes
$19k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in 5 minutes
84%
Up
What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?
$22k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$22k Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in 9 months
40%
Yes
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
$1k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours
$1k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in about 4 hours
57%
Up
Games · NCAA
Miami Hurricanes vs. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (W)
$3k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$3k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets