Transportation Security Administration Predictions & Odds· 109 markets

W
Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries?

Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries?

$34k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 14 days

1%

Yes

N
Number of TSA Passengers March 30?

Number of TSA Passengers March 30?

$49k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ended

60%

2.6M-2.8M

N
Number of TSA Passengers April 1?

Number of TSA Passengers April 1?

$6k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 19 hours

82%

<2.4M

N
Number of TSA passengers March 30 - April 5?

Number of TSA passengers March 30 - April 5?

$3k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 5 days

43%

17.5-18m

N
Number of TSA Passengers March 31?

Number of TSA Passengers March 31?

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ended

83%

<2.4M

N
Number of TSA Passengers April 3?

Number of TSA Passengers April 3?

$374 Vol.
$347 Liq.
Ends in 3 days

52%

<3.0M

N
Number of TSA Passengers April 2?

Number of TSA Passengers April 2?

$563 Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 2 days

71%

2.6M-2.8M

N
Number of TSA passengers January 2?

Number of TSA passengers January 2?

$16k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

2.5-2.75m

U
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15?

U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15?

$11k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 15 days

40%

Yes

U
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?

$2.3m Vol.
$248k Liq.
🔥$117k today
126
Ended

30%

April 30

W
Will Mamdani make NYC buses free by March 31?

Will Mamdani make NYC buses free by March 31?

$73k Vol.
$10k Liq.
4
Ended

0%

Yes

C
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?

CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?

$95k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

38%

Yes

A
Anthropic CEO arrested?

Anthropic CEO arrested?

$140k Vol.
$35k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months

3%

Yes

U
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

$129k Vol.
$13k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months

16%

Yes

W
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

$46k Vol.
$16k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months

9%

Yes

I
Israel x Syria security agreement by...?

Israel x Syria security agreement by...?

$758k Vol.
$6k Liq.
114
Ended

16%

June 30

U
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?

US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?

$0 Vol.
$559 Liq.
20
Ends in 3 months

36%

Yes

T
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

$7k Vol.
$882 Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

71%

December 31, 2026

W
What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

$379k Vol.
$13k Liq.
69

17%

Isfahan nuclear facility

K
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

$17k Vol.
$12k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months

5%

Yes