Transportation Security Administration Predictions & Odds· 108 markets
W
1%
Yes
N
Number of TSA Passengers April 4?
$5k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in about 20 hours
$5k Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in about 20 hours
80%
<3.0M
N
Number of TSA passengers March 30 - April 5?
$5k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
$5k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 2 days
51%
17-17.5m
U
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15?
$30k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
$30k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in 12 days
17%
Yes
U
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?
$2.7m Vol.
$127k Liq.
🔥$107k today
122
Ended
$2.7m Vol.🔥$107k today$127k Liq.122Ended
18%
April 30
C
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?
$96k Vol.
$861 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$96k Vol.$861 Liq.Ends in 9 months
60%
Yes
A
3%
Yes
U
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$133k Vol.
$29k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$133k Vol.$29k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
W
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?
$46k Vol.
$29k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$46k Vol.$29k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
8%
Yes
U
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?
$0 Vol.
$230 Liq.
32
Ends in 3 months
$0 Vol.$230 Liq.32Ends in 3 months
40%
Yes
T
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?
$7k Vol.
$889 Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$7k Vol.$889 Liq.1Ends in 9 months
65%
December 31, 2026
W
What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?
$645k Vol.
$18k Liq.
🔥$130k today
222
$645k Vol.🔥$130k today$18k Liq.222
98%
Yes
K
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?
$17k Vol.
$13k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$17k Vol.$13k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
6%
Yes
C
CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?
$66k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$66k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes
2
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?
$130k Vol.
$30k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
$130k Vol.$30k Liq.13Ends in 3 months
10%
Yes
W
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?
$811k Vol.
$243k Liq.
23
Ends in 27 days
$811k Vol.$243k Liq.23Ends in 27 days
13%
United States