US Congress Predictions & Odds· 161 markets
US congress stock trading ban before 2027?
$16k Vol.
$4k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$16k Vol.$4k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
21%
Yes
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?
$5k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$5k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 3 months
10%
Yes
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
$57k Vol.
$12k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months
$57k Vol.$12k Liq.4Ends in 7 months
2%
Yes
Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?
$37k Vol.
$72k Liq.
Ends in 30 days
$37k Vol.$72k Liq.Ends in 30 days
7%
Yes
4%
Yes
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?
$0 Vol.
$580 Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$580 Liq.Ends in 7 months
77%
Yes
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
$0 Vol.
$7k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$7k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
82%
Yes
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
$2k Vol.
$10k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$2k Vol.$10k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
92%
Yes
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
$254k Vol.
$20k Liq.
11
Ends in 7 months
$254k Vol.$20k Liq.11Ends in 7 months
83%
Shutdown & Democratic Party
27%
≤47
How many Republican Senators not running in 2026?
$67k Vol.
$62k Liq.
5
Ends in 5 months
$67k Vol.$62k Liq.5Ends in 5 months
58%
7
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?
$94k Vol.
$18k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$94k Vol.$18k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
40%
December 31, 2026
How many Republican House members not running in 2026?
$50k Vol.
$39k Liq.
4
Ends in 5 months
$50k Vol.$39k Liq.4Ends in 5 months
41%
36–39
ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?
$360k Vol.
$18k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$360k Vol.$18k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
83%
Not Extended & Democratic Party
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
$28k Vol.
$50k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$28k Vol.$50k Liq.Ends in 7 months
46%
Other
20%
115-120m
How many Democratic House members not running in 2026?
$7k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 5 months
$7k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 5 months
39%
24–27
34%
Chuck Schumer