US Economy Predictions & Odds· 129 markets

U
US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

28%

Yes

$1.1m Vol.
$65k Liq.
43
Ends in 10 months
U
US x Cuba economic deal by...?

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

27%

June 30

$96k Vol.
$39k Liq.
15
Ends in 3 months
W
Which companies will the US take a stake in?

44%

Boeing

$78k Vol.
$83k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
U
US bank failure by April 30?

US bank failure by April 30?

17%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 25 days
U
US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?

20%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
What will the median home value in the US be on April 30?

21%

433 - 435k

$1k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 25 days
U
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?

47%

Yes

$0 Vol.
$211 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by May 1?

20%

375M

$280k Vol.
$162k Liq.
7
Ends in 26 days
H
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

48%

5.0%

$348k Vol.
$19k Liq.
13
Ends in 9 months
U
US GDP growth in Q1 2026?

US GDP growth in Q1 2026?

24%

3.0–3.5%

$235k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 25 days
A
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?

Economy · Politics

Another US debt downgrade before 2027?

28%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
U
US Trade Deficit in 2026?

US Trade Deficit in 2026?

33%

800–900B

$17k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 11 months
U
US defaults on debt by 2027?

Politics · Economy

US defaults on debt by 2027?

5%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
M
March Inflation US - Annual

March Inflation US - Annual

99%

≥2.8%

$3.1m Vol.
$93k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
M
March Inflation US - Monthly

March Inflation US - Monthly

96%

≥0.8%

$578k Vol.
$53k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
M
March Inflation US - Annual (Higher Brackets)

47%

≥3.4%

$933k Vol.
$79k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
P
Peak US National Debt before 2027?

Politics · Economy

Peak US National Debt before 2027?

91%

$40 trillion

$9k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Will gas hit __ by end of April?

Will gas hit __ by end of April?

99%

↑ $4.15

$165k Vol.
$91k Liq.
Ends in 25 days
N
Number of TSA Passengers April 4?

99%

<3.0M

$12k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ended
N
Number of TSA Passengers April 6?

64%

2.6M-2.8M

$3k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 1 day