US Economy Predictions & Odds· 132 markets
US recession by end of 2026?
$919k Vol.
$71k Liq.
50
Ends in 10 months
$919k Vol.$71k Liq.50Ends in 10 months
37%
Yes
US x Cuba economic deal by...?
$81k Vol.
$28k Liq.
15
Ends in 3 months
$81k Vol.$28k Liq.15Ends in 3 months
38%
June 30
Another US bank failure by March 31?
$103k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$103k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
2%
Yes
What will the median home value in the US be on April 1?
$20k Vol.
$9k Liq.
1
Ends in 1 day
$20k Vol.$9k Liq.1Ends in 1 day
30%
425 - 427.5k
US bank failure by April 30?
$7k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$7k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
25%
Yes
Which companies will the US take a stake in?
$76k Vol.
$30k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$76k Vol.$30k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
49%
Palantir
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?
$0 Vol.
$587 Liq.
15
Ends in 3 months
$0 Vol.$587 Liq.15Ends in 3 months
39%
Yes
US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?
$0 Vol.
$5k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$5k Liq.4Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes
US GDP growth in Q1 2026?
$226k Vol.
$25k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$226k Vol.$25k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
23%
2.0–2.5%
Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by May 1?
$246k Vol.
$104k Liq.
5
Ends in about 1 month
$246k Vol.$104k Liq.5Ends in about 1 month
39%
375M
Economy · Politics
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?
$8k Vol.
$14k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
$8k Vol.$14k Liq.4Ends in 9 months
36%
Yes
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
$336k Vol.
$21k Liq.
16
Ends in 9 months
$336k Vol.$21k Liq.16Ends in 9 months
62%
5.0%
Politics · Economy
US defaults on debt by 2027?
$15k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$15k Vol.$28k Liq.Ends in 9 months
5%
Yes
34%
800–900B
98%
≥2.8%
March Inflation US - Annual (Higher Brackets)
$817k Vol.
$96k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
$817k Vol.$96k Liq.Ends in 10 days
48%
≥3.4%
89%
≥0.8%
Politics · Economy
Peak US National Debt before 2027?
$9k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$9k Vol.$21k Liq.Ends in 9 months
93%
$40 trillion
Will gas hit__ by end of March?
$580k Vol.
$133k Liq.
22
Ends in about 7 hours
$580k Vol.$133k Liq.22Ends in about 7 hours
72%
↑ $4.00