US Economy Predictions & Odds· 128 markets

U
US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

$1.0m Vol.
$67k Liq.
63
Ends in 10 months

34%

Yes

U
US x Cuba economic deal by...?

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

$93k Vol.
$24k Liq.
15
Ends in 3 months

32%

June 30

W
What will the median home value in the US be on April 30?

What will the median home value in the US be on April 30?

$1k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 27 days

21%

<429k

U
US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?

US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?

$15k Vol.
$4k Liq.
13
Ends in 9 months

24%

Yes

U
US bank failure by April 30?

US bank failure by April 30?

$9k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 27 days

18%

Yes

W
Which companies will the US take a stake in?

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

$78k Vol.
$20k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months

51%

Palantir

U
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?

US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?

$0 Vol.
$218 Liq.
29
Ends in 3 months

47%

Yes

W
Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by May 1?

Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by May 1?

$268k Vol.
$150k Liq.
5
Ends in 28 days

17%

375M

U
US GDP growth in Q1 2026?

US GDP growth in Q1 2026?

$231k Vol.
$27k Liq.
16
Ends in 27 days

20%

3.0–3.5%

H
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

$344k Vol.
$27k Liq.
22
Ends in 9 months

60%

5.0%

A
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?

Economy · Politics

Another US debt downgrade before 2027?

$9k Vol.
$3k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months

30%

Yes

U
US Trade Deficit in 2026?

US Trade Deficit in 2026?

$1k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 11 months

35%

800–900B

U
US defaults on debt by 2027?

Politics · Economy

US defaults on debt by 2027?

$15k Vol.
$26k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

5%

Yes

M
March Inflation US - Annual

March Inflation US - Annual

$3.1m Vol.
$127k Liq.
🔥$75k today
Ends in 7 days

98%

≥2.8%

M
March Inflation US - Annual (Higher Brackets)

March Inflation US - Annual (Higher Brackets)

$890k Vol.
$88k Liq.
Ends in 7 days

40%

3.3%

M
March Inflation US - Monthly

March Inflation US - Monthly

$529k Vol.
$45k Liq.
Ends in 7 days

89%

≥0.8%

P
Peak US National Debt before 2027?

Politics · Economy

Peak US National Debt before 2027?

$9k Vol.
$21k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

94%

$40 trillion

W
Will gas hit __ by end of April?

Will gas hit __ by end of April?

$131k Vol.
$49k Liq.
🔥$66k today
Ends in 27 days

97%

↑ $4.15

N
Number of TSA Passengers April 1?

Number of TSA Passengers April 1?

$12k Vol.
$85k Liq.
Ended

100%

<2.4M

W
Will SOFR hit __ in April?

Will SOFR hit __ in April?

$2k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 27 days

100%

↓3.66%