Sofr Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

W
Will SOFR hit __ in April?

Will SOFR hit __ in April?

$0 Vol.
$302 Liq.
Ends in 28 days

53%

↓3.66%

F
Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

$717k Vol.
$105k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

84%

Pause–Pause–Pause

W
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by...?

Will Russia capture Sofiivka by...?

$92k Vol.
$13k Liq.
4
Ends in 28 days

26%

Yes

F
Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

$2k Vol.
$127k Liq.
Ends in 4 months

76%

Pause–Pause–Pause

F
Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

$394k Vol.
$101k Liq.
32
Ends in 27 days

98%

Pause–Pause–Pause

O
OR-05 House Election Winner

OR-05 House Election Winner

$0 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

76%

Democratic Party

C
ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

$892 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 8 days

6%

Yes

O
OR-06 House Election Winner

OR-06 House Election Winner

$0 Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

91%

Democratic Party

O
OR-02 House Election Winner

OR-02 House Election Winner

$3k Vol.
$46k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

91%

Republican Party

F
Fed Decision in June?

Fed Decision in June?

$5.2m Vol.
$996k Liq.
🔥$294k today
21
Ends in 3 months

90%

No change

W
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

$102k Vol.
$54k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months

55%

US x Iran Ceasefire

S
Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?

Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?

$61k Vol.
$18k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

31%

December 31, 2026

F
Fed rate hike by...?

Fed rate hike by...?

$3k Vol.
$250k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

20%

October Meeting

F
Fed Decision in July?

Fed Decision in July?

$3.2m Vol.
$295k Liq.
🔥$56k today
Ends in 4 months

78%

No change

F
Fed decision in April?

Fed decision in April?

$44.1m Vol.
$5.4m Liq.
🔥$3.3m today
38
Ends in 27 days

98%

No change

T
Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

$42k Vol.
$102k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months

32%

Paxton 9%+

P
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on April 2?

Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on April 2?

$0 Vol.
$100 Liq.
Ends in about 24 hours

50%

Up

S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

$12k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months

50%

Yes

P
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

Parlays · Hide From New

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

$88k Vol.
$47k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

77%

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

O
OR-01 House Election Winner

OR-01 House Election Winner

$0 Vol.
$41k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

93%

Democratic Party