US News Predictions & Odds· 196 markets

W
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

$5k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

11%

Yes

P
Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

$483.8m Vol.
$28.9m Liq.
🔥$2.3m today
809
Ends in over 2 years

18%

JD Vance

W
Will the next elected US president be a woman?

Will the next elected US president be a woman?

$10k Vol.
$43k Liq.
2
Ends in over 2 years

20%

Yes

B
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

$4.3m Vol.
$552k Liq.
148
Ends in 7 months

51%

Democrats Sweep

R
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

27%

≤47

R
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

$59k Vol.
$17k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months

3%

Yes

R
Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

$198k Vol.
$101k Liq.
5
Ends in 7 months

35%

Below 190

K
Kraken IPO by ___ ?

Kraken IPO by ___ ?

$1.4m Vol.
$5k Liq.
43
Ended

34%

December 31, 2026

W
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

$1.6m Vol.
$823k Liq.
64
Ends in over 2 years

60%

Democratic

U
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?

$27k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

16%

Yes

M
March Inflation US - Annual

March Inflation US - Annual

$3.1m Vol.
$128k Liq.
🔥$75k today
Ends in 7 days

98%

≥2.8%

M
March Inflation US - Annual (Higher Brackets)

March Inflation US - Annual (Higher Brackets)

$891k Vol.
$96k Liq.
Ends in 7 days

40%

≥3.4%

G
GTA VI released before June 2026?

GTA VI released before June 2026?

$13.1m Vol.
$89k Liq.
27
Ends in about 2 months

1%

Yes

C
California Governor Election Winner

California Governor Election Winner

$8.2m Vol.
$745k Liq.
19
Ends in 7 months

61%

Eric Swalwell

S
South Dakota Governor Election Winner

South Dakota Governor Election Winner

$9k Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

94%

Republican

F
Florida Governor Election Winner

Florida Governor Election Winner

$9k Vol.
$54k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

76%

Republican

N
North Carolina Senate Election Winner

North Carolina Senate Election Winner

$42k Vol.
$32k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months

87%

Democrat

S
South Carolina Senate Election Winner

South Carolina Senate Election Winner

$18k Vol.
$23k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months

88%

Republican

K
Kansas Senate Election Winner

Kansas Senate Election Winner

$16k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

86%

Republican

D
Delaware Senate Election Winner

Delaware Senate Election Winner

$8k Vol.
$63k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

95%

Democrat