US News Predictions & Odds· 196 markets

W
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

$5k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

14%

Yes

P
Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

$485.6m Vol.
$31.1m Liq.
🔥$2.7m today
805
Ends in over 2 years

18%

JD Vance

W
Will the next elected US president be a woman?

Will the next elected US president be a woman?

$10k Vol.
$35k Liq.
2
Ends in over 2 years

20%

Yes

B
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

$4.4m Vol.
$479k Liq.
150
Ends in 7 months

51%

Democrats Sweep

R
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

$59k Vol.
$16k Liq.
6
Ends in 7 months

3%

Yes

R
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

27%

≤47

R
Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

$198k Vol.
$81k Liq.
6
Ends in 7 months

35%

Below 190

K
Kraken IPO by ___ ?

Kraken IPO by ___ ?

$1.4m Vol.
$5k Liq.
43
Ended

33%

December 31, 2026

W
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

$1.6m Vol.
$770k Liq.
63
Ends in over 2 years

60%

Democratic

U
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?

$27k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

14%

Yes

M
March Inflation US - Annual

March Inflation US - Annual

$3.1m Vol.
$142k Liq.
Ends in 7 days

99%

≥2.8%

M
March Inflation US - Annual (Higher Brackets)

March Inflation US - Annual (Higher Brackets)

$898k Vol.
$71k Liq.
Ends in 7 days

38%

3.3%

G
GTA VI released before June 2026?

GTA VI released before June 2026?

$13.1m Vol.
$94k Liq.
29
Ends in about 2 months

1%

Yes

C
California Governor Election Winner

California Governor Election Winner

$8.2m Vol.
$833k Liq.
18
Ends in 7 months

60%

Eric Swalwell

M
Montana Senate Election Winner

Montana Senate Election Winner

$42k Vol.
$21k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months

85%

Republican

F
Florida Governor Election Winner

Florida Governor Election Winner

$11k Vol.
$55k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

72%

Republican

T
Texas Senate Election Winner

Texas Senate Election Winner

$162k Vol.
$65k Liq.
7
Ends in 7 months

57%

Republican

A
Alaska Governor Election Winner

Alaska Governor Election Winner

$709k Vol.
$171k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

31%

Tom Begich

I
Idaho Governor Election Winner

Idaho Governor Election Winner

$7k Vol.
$35k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months

94%

Republican

N
North Carolina Senate Election Winner

North Carolina Senate Election Winner

$43k Vol.
$29k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months

87%

Democrat