Vacancy Predictions & Odds· 105 markets

S
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?

Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?

$3k Vol.
$26k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months

55%

Yes

D
Dublin-Central By-Election Winner

Dublin-Central By-Election Winner

$763k Vol.
$94k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months

76%

Daniel Ennis

G
Galway-West By-Election Winner?

Galway-West By-Election Winner?

$20k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 12 months

38%

Noel Thomas

N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Geopolitics · World

Next leader out of power before 2027?

$3.5m Vol.
$406k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

64%

Orbán - Hungary PM

M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

$2.0m Vol.
$13k Liq.
108
Ends in 3 months

51%

Yes

M
March Unemployment Rate

March Unemployment Rate

$159k Vol.
$23k Liq.
🔥$115k today
Ends in about 10 hours

37%

4.4%

H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

$437k Vol.
$6k Liq.
27

37%

Yes

U
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by...?

UK Cabinet Minister resigns by...?

$108k Vol.
$2k Liq.
54
Ends in 3 months

71%

Yes

M
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

$14.5m Vol.
$436k Liq.
🔥$158k today
258
Ends in 3 months

63%

>$600M

A
Arne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?

EPL · Sports

Arne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?

$721 Vol.
$2k Liq.
5
Ends in about 2 months

43%

Yes

W
Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

$94k Vol.
$132k Liq.
14
Ends in 9 months

17%

Dong Jun

U
U.S. Congress member out over Epstein files by April 30?

U.S. Congress member out over Epstein files by April 30?

$7k Vol.
$9k Liq.
2
Ends in 27 days

4%

Yes

F
Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

$717k Vol.
$107k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

84%

Pause–Pause–Pause

F
Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

$2k Vol.
$124k Liq.
Ends in 4 months

76%

Pause–Pause–Pause

F
Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

$409k Vol.
$90k Liq.
36
Ends in 26 days

98%

Pause–Pause–Pause

W
What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

$3k Vol.
$1k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months

28%

↑ 10 ETH

W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

$0 Vol.
$7k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months

85%

Yes

N
Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Held

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Held

$6k Vol.
$18k Liq.
2
Ends in 6 months

75%

PL

#
# of seats won by PPP in South Korea by-elections?

# of seats won by PPP in South Korea by-elections?

$21k Vol.
$39k Liq.
2
Ends in 2 months

41%

3

#
# of seats won by DP in South Korea by-elections?

# of seats won by DP in South Korea by-elections?

$21k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in 2 months

55%

10+