Vote Counting Predictions & Odds· 109 markets

S
SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?

SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?

$24k Vol.
$51k Liq.
Ends in 4 months

69%

Yes

W
Will Trump nationalize elections?

Will Trump nationalize elections?

$14k Vol.
$2k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months

32%

Yes

H
Hungary Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory (Higher Strikes for Tisza)

Hungary Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory (Higher Strikes for Tisza)

$2k Vol.
$41k Liq.
Ends in 10 days

44%

Tisza <9%

H
Hungary Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory

Hungary Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory

$1.3m Vol.
$200k Liq.
🔥$54k today
Ends in 10 days

44%

Tisza 9%+

P
Peru Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Peru Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

$8k Vol.
$59k Liq.
Ends in 10 days

47%

Keiko Fujimori 5%+

I
Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory

Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory

$18k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ended

98%

Stratton 6–9%

T
Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

$43k Vol.
$98k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months

30%

Paxton 9%+

B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

$207k Vol.
$72k Liq.
7
Ends in 6 months

41%

Lula da Silva <5%

W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

$42k Vol.
$12k Liq.
13
Ends in 28 days

25%

April 30

W
What will Cuomo say during his victory/concession speech?

Thank you 5+ times

W
What will Mamdani say during his victory speech?

What will Mamdani say during his victory speech?

$334k Vol.
$0 Liq.
90
Ended

New York / New Yorker 10+ times

W
What will Donald Trump post this week? (February 23 - March 1)

President DJT

#
# of Conservative seats after UK Election? (125-200)

# of Conservative seats after UK Election? (125-200)

$283k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended

<125

#
# of Labour seats after UK Election? (325-450)

400-424

R
Reform share of votes in UK election?

Reform share of votes in UK election?

$42k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

11-15%

E
Ecuador Presidential Election

Ecuador Presidential Election

$4.9m Vol.
$0 Liq.
1,324
Ended

Daniel Noboa (ADN)

N
Nevada Margin of Victory

Nevada Margin of Victory

$59.5m Vol.
$0 Liq.
26
Ended

Trump by 3.0-4.0%

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UK Election: Labour % of the vote?

UK Election · Global Elections

UK Election: Labour % of the vote?

$113k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended

30-35%

C
California Senate Primary Margin of Victory

All

California Senate Primary Margin of Victory

$271k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Schiff wins

#
# of Conservative seats after UK Election? (0-125)

100-124