Warfare Predictions & Odds· 118 markets

45%
Yes

17%
Isfahan nuclear facility

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?
$701k Vol.
$116k Liq.
34
Ends in 9 months
$701k Vol.$116k Liq.34Ends in 9 months
34%
7

US x Russia military clash by...?
$583k Vol.
$25k Liq.
16
Ends in 9 months
$583k Vol.$25k Liq.16Ends in 9 months
10%
December 31, 2026

US x China Military clash before 2027?
$53k Vol.
$32k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
$53k Vol.$32k Liq.4Ends in 9 months
7%
Yes

Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 27?
$15k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ended
$15k Vol.$5k Liq.Ended
4%
Yes

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
$60k Vol.
$17k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$60k Vol.$17k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
42%
Yes

Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?
$10k Vol.
$10k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$10k Vol.$10k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
9%
Yes

All
'The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare' over $8m opening weekend?
$62k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$62k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
Yes

Israel intercepts Greta Thunberg's ship before reaching Gaza?
$206k Vol.
$0 Liq.
60
Ended
$206k Vol.$0 Liq.60Ended
Yes

Film Independent Spirit Awards: Best Cinematography Winner
$22k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$22k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
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