Weather Science Predictions & Odds· 234 markets

W
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

$2.4m Vol.
$157k Liq.
17
Ends in 9 months

46%

2

P
Precipitation in NYC in April?

Weather · Science

Precipitation in NYC in April?

$3k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 27 days

36%

2-3"

P
Precipitation in Seattle in April?

Weather · Precipitation

Precipitation in Seattle in April?

$4k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 27 days

69%

<2.5"

P
Precipitation in Hong Kong in April?

Hong Kong · China

Precipitation in Hong Kong in April?

$757 Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 27 days

38%

130-140mm

M
Major solar storm by April 30?

Weather · Science

Major solar storm by April 30?

$12k Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ends in 27 days

10%

Yes

H
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes March 30 - April 5?

Earthquakes · Science

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes March 30 - April 5?

$117k Vol.
$35k Liq.
🔥$52k today
Ends in 2 days

67%

2

H
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

$1.8m Vol.
$84k Liq.
22
Ends in 3 months

86%

8+

M
Measles cases in U.S. by April 30?

Measles · Pandemics

Measles cases in U.S. by April 30?

$75k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in 27 days

95%

1800

H
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

$1.1m Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

30%

14–16

F
Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 12, 2026?

Science · Pandemics

Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 12, 2026?

$14k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 10 hours

95%

80–85

M
March 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

March 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

$225k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 7 days

64%

1.25–1.29ºC

H
How many Tornadoes in the US in March?

How many Tornadoes in the US in March?

$183k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 7 days

100%

150+

2
2026 March 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2026 March 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

$279k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 7 days

99%

4th or lower

N
Natural Disaster in 2026?

Natural Disaster in 2026?

$191k Vol.
$22k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months

30%

Yes

M
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

$7.5m Vol.
$51k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

98%

↑2k

2
2026 April 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

Science · Weather

2026 April 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

$3k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

43%

3rd hottest

H
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

$677k Vol.
$16k Liq.
9
Ends in 12 months

46%

1

9
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

$174k Vol.
$16k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months

12%

Yes

W
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

$315k Vol.
$7k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months

33%

Yes

N
Named storm forms before hurricane season?

Natural Disaster · Science

Named storm forms before hurricane season?

$329k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months

42%

Yes