Weather Science Predictions & Odds· 294 markets
W
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
$2.4m Vol.
$126k Liq.
17
Ends in 9 months
$2.4m Vol.$126k Liq.17Ends in 9 months
46%
2
P
Weather · Science
Precipitation in NYC in April?
$3k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$3k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 28 days
33%
2-3"
P
Hong Kong · China
Precipitation in Hong Kong in April?
$742 Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$742 Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in 28 days
37%
130-140mm
P
Weather · Precipitation
Precipitation in Seattle in April?
$4k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$4k Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in 28 days
69%
<2.5"
M
Weather · Science
Major solar storm by April 30?
$12k Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ends in 28 days
$12k Vol.$2k Liq.1Ends in 28 days
10%
Yes
H
Earthquakes · Science
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes March 30 - April 5?
$109k Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
$109k Vol.$35k Liq.Ends in 3 days
66%
2
H
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?
$1.8m Vol.
$60k Liq.
22
Ends in 3 months
$1.8m Vol.$60k Liq.22Ends in 3 months
82%
8+
M
Measles · Pandemics
Measles cases in U.S. by April 30?
$75k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$75k Vol.$29k Liq.Ends in 28 days
95%
1800
H
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
$1.1m Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$1.1m Vol.$33k Liq.Ends in 9 months
28%
14–16
H
How many Tornadoes in the US in March?
$180k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$180k Vol.$23k Liq.Ends in 8 days
100%
150+
F
Science · Pandemics
Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 12, 2026?
$14k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 15 hours
$14k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in about 15 hours
94%
80–85
M
March 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
$225k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$225k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in 8 days
64%
1.25–1.29ºC
2
2026 March 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
$279k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$279k Vol.$20k Liq.Ends in 8 days
99%
4th or lower
M
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
$7.5m Vol.
$45k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$7.5m Vol.$45k Liq.Ends in 9 months
98%
↑2k
N
30%
Yes
2
Science · Weather
2026 April 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
$3k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$3k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
43%
3rd hottest
H
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
$677k Vol.
$17k Liq.
9
Ends in 12 months
$677k Vol.$17k Liq.9Ends in 12 months
45%
1
9
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
$174k Vol.
$8k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$174k Vol.$8k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
12%
Yes
A
Weather · Science
April 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
$19k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$19k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
28%
1.20–1.24ºC
N
Natural Disaster · Science
Named storm forms before hurricane season?
$329k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$329k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
41%
Yes