Agi 预测与赔率· 126 个市场

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

$45k 交易量
$5k 流动性
9
9 个月后结束

22%

Yes

OpenAI becomes a for-profit before April 2025?

OpenAI becomes a for-profit before April 2025?

$176k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

No

AGI (AGBK) IPO Closing Market Cap

AGI (AGBK) IPO Closing Market Cap

$47k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

<2.75B

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2024?

artificial general intelligence · technology

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2024?

$907k 交易量
$0 流动性
54
已结束

No

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before July?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before July?

$195k 交易量
$0 流动性
22
已结束

No

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?

$337k 交易量
$0 流动性
31
已结束

No

How high will AI score on ARC-AGI-2?

How high will AI score on ARC-AGI-2?

$269k 交易量
$0 流动性
4
已结束

≥85% by November 3

Will anyone win the ARC Prize Grand Prize?

Will anyone win the ARC Prize Grand Prize?

$5k 交易量
$0 流动性
3
已结束

Grand Prize Winner (Any CPT)

Nothing Ever Happens: AI Edition

Nothing Ever Happens: AI Edition

$169k 交易量
$0 流动性
36
已结束

Yes

What will Sam Altman say on The Tonight Show on December 8?

What will Sam Altman say on The Tonight Show on December 8?

$480k 交易量
$0 流动性
166
已结束

Polymarket / Bet

What will Trump say in December?

Mentions · Politics

What will Trump say in December?

$180k 交易量
$0 流动性
35
已结束

The Apprentice

What will Elon Musk say during AMA on August 6?

What will Elon Musk say during AMA on August 6?

$37k 交易量
$0 流动性
39
已结束

Grok 5+ times

Which robot dancer brands will feature at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala

Which robot dancer brands will feature at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala

$594k 交易量
$0 流动性
94
已结束

Unitree Robotics

What will Trump say during Signing Ceremony on January 14?

What will Trump say during Signing Ceremony on January 14?

$119k 交易量
$0 流动性
83
已结束

Kennedy / Autism

The Last Crescendo: Beterbiev vs. Bivol

Sports · Boxing

The Last Crescendo: Beterbiev vs. Bivol

$331k 交易量
$0 流动性
13
已结束

Vergil Ortiz Jr. vs. Israil Madrimov

The Bondi Parlay (Feb 13)

The Bondi Parlay (Feb 13)

$8k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

No

The Bondi Parlay (Feb 27)

The Bondi Parlay (Feb 27)

$17k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

No

The Bondi Parlay (Feb 20)

The Bondi Parlay (Feb 20)

$15k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

No

Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down - October 15

Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down - October 15

$21k 交易量
$0 流动性
5
已结束

Up

Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on October 23?

Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on October 23?

$400 交易量
$0 流动性
3
已结束

Up