AI Technology 预测与赔率

Tech·Hegseth

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?

$44k 交易量

$10k 流动性

3

大约 1 个月后结束

18%

Yes

Tech·Business

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

$57k 交易量

$3k 流动性

1

将近 2 年后结束

96%

SpaceX

Tech·IPOs

IPOs before 2027?

$5.2m 交易量

$176k 流动性

🔥$52k 今日

2

9 个月后结束

93%

SpaceX

Tech·llm

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

$45k 交易量

$5k 流动性

9

9 个月后结束

21%

Yes

Politics·AI

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

$73k 交易量

$6k 流动性

3

9 个月后结束

43%

Yes

Culture·AI

AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?

$12k 交易量

$4k 流动性

10

9 个月后结束

35%

Yes

Tech·Business

AI bubble burst by...?

$2.5m 交易量

$25k 流动性

79

9 个月后结束

22%

December 31, 2026

Tech·AI

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

$27k 交易量

$1k 流动性

4

9 个月后结束

25%

Yes

Tech·gpt

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?

$13k 交易量

$6k 流动性

大约 13 小时后结束

3%

Yes

Tech·outage

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

$354 交易量

$2k 流动性

11 天后结束

8%

Yes

Tech·AI

Big AI out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?

$894 交易量

$6k 流动性

16 天后结束

77%

April 15

Tech·OpenAI

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

$241k 交易量

$8k 流动性

31

已结束

45%

December 31, 2026

Tech·OpenAI

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

$0 交易量

$1k 流动性

9 个月后结束

55%

Yes

Tech·Big Tech

Which company has the #2 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

$12k 交易量

$63k 流动性

大约 1 个月后结束

82%

Anthropic

Tech·Big Tech

Which company has the best AI model end of April?

$2.7m 交易量

$453k 流动性

大约 1 个月后结束

90%

Anthropic

Geopolitics·Business

Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

$70k 交易量

$30k 流动性

3 个月后结束

11%

Yes

Tech·AI

Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

$800k 交易量

$154k 流动性

🔥$158k 今日

大约 1 个月后结束

83%

Anthropic

Tech·OpenAI

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

$100k 交易量

$6k 流动性

1

3 个月后结束

27%

Yes

Tech·AI

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

$1.4m 交易量

$71k 流动性

🔥$104k 今日

25

3 个月后结束

28%

OpenAI

Tech·Jony Ive

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

$102k 交易量

$5k 流动性

12

9 个月后结束

45%

Head-mounted display

AI Technology 预测与赔率· 118 个市场

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

IPOs before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?

AI bubble burst by...?

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

Big AI out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

Which company has the #2 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

Which company has the best AI model end of April?

Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

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