AI Technology 预测与赔率· 131 个市场

W
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?

$46k 交易量
$20k 流动性
3
27 天后结束

16%

Yes

W
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

$57k 交易量
$8k 流动性
1
超过 1 年后结束

96%

SpaceX

I
IPOs before 2027?

IPOs before 2027?

$5.3m 交易量
$191k 流动性
12
9 个月后结束

94%

SpaceX

O
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

$45k 交易量
$9k 流动性
10
9 个月后结束

19%

Yes

U
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

$73k 交易量
$9k 流动性
7
9 个月后结束

45%

Yes

A
AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?

AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?

$12k 交易量
$4k 流动性
13
9 个月后结束

18%

Yes

A
AI bubble burst by...?

AI bubble burst by...?

$2.5m 交易量
$13k 流动性
102
9 个月后结束

20%

Yes

A
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

$27k 交易量
$4k 流动性
5
9 个月后结束

28%

Yes

C
ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

$1k 交易量
$9k 流动性
7 天后结束

6%

Yes

B
Big AI out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?

Big AI out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?

$19k 交易量
$5k 流动性
12 天后结束

85%

April 15

W
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

$252k 交易量
$2k 流动性
31
已结束

33%

Yes

O
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

$10k 交易量
$8k 流动性
9 个月后结束

77%

Yes

W
Which company has the #2 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #2 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

$15k 交易量
$79k 流动性
27 天后结束

85%

Anthropic

W
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

$71k 交易量
$27k 流动性
3 个月后结束

10%

Yes

W
Which company has the best AI model end of April?

Which company has the best AI model end of April?

$3.2m 交易量
$606k 流动性
🔥$328k 今日
27 天后结束

95%

Anthropic

W
Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

$856k 交易量
$159k 流动性
27 天后结束

90%

Anthropic

O
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

$102k 交易量
$9k 流动性
2
3 个月后结束

5%

Yes

W
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

$1.4m 交易量
$71k 流动性
24
3 个月后结束

28%

OpenAI

W
Which company has the #3 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #3 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

$9k 交易量
$33k 流动性
27 天后结束

50%

Google

W
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

$114k 交易量
$5k 流动性
12
9 个月后结束

37%

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