Chatgpt 预测与赔率· 115 个市场

ChatGPT Outage by...?

ChatGPT Outage by...?

$25k 交易量
$4k 流动性
已结束

21%

Yes

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

$45k 交易量
$9k 流动性
9
9 个月后结束

22%

Yes

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

$3k 交易量
$1k 流动性
1
3 个月后结束

37%

Yes

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

$18k 交易量
$946 流动性
4
3 个月后结束

56%

60%+

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?

$13k 交易量
$7k 流动性
大约 7 小时后结束

2%

Yes

ChatGPT out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?

ChatGPT out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?

$824 交易量
$11k 流动性
15 天后结束

86%

April 15

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

$354 交易量
$4k 流动性
10 天后结束

8%

Yes

Big AI out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?

Big AI out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?

$1k 交易量
$7k 流动性
15 天后结束

81%

April 15

GPT-6 released by…?

GPT-6 released by…?

$358k 交易量
$41k 流动性
40
已结束

82%

December 31, 2026

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?

$16k 交易量
$12k 流动性
大约 7 小时后结束

99%

ChatGPT

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?

$5k 交易量
$12k 流动性
大约 7 小时后结束

96%

Claude by Anthropic

Chatbot Arena: How high will AI score by December 31?

Chatbot Arena: How high will AI score by December 31?

$66k 交易量
$27k 流动性
9 个月后结束

61%

↑ 1550

Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

$70k 交易量
$24k 流动性
3 个月后结束

11%

Yes

Which company has the #2 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #2 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

$13k 交易量
$61k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束

82%

Anthropic

Which company has the top AI model end of March? (Style Control On)

Which company has the top AI model end of March? (Style Control On)

$1.0m 交易量
$115k 流动性
1
大约 7 小时后结束

99%

Anthropic

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

$5k 交易量
$9k 流动性
1
9 个月后结束

26%

Yes

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

$1.4m 交易量
$78k 流动性
24
3 个月后结束

28%

OpenAI

Which company has the #2 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #2 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)

$544k 交易量
$79k 流动性
2
大约 7 小时后结束

98%

Anthropic

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

$475k 交易量
$177k 流动性
22
3 个月后结束

49%

Anthropic

Which company has the #3 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #3 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

$7k 交易量
$29k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束

40%

Google