Climate Weather 预测与赔率· 259 个市场

W
Will a hurricane form by May 31?

Will a hurricane form by May 31?

$36k 交易量
$4k 流动性
4
大约 2 个月后结束

7%

Yes

H
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

$1.8m 交易量
$63k 流动性
22
3 个月后结束

86%

8+

H
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

$1.1m 交易量
$35k 流动性
9 个月后结束

30%

14–16

W
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

$2.4m 交易量
$151k 流动性
17
9 个月后结束

46%

2

M
March 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

March 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

$225k 交易量
$16k 流动性
7 天后结束

64%

1.25–1.29ºC

H
How many Tornadoes in the US in March?

How many Tornadoes in the US in March?

$183k 交易量
$22k 流动性
7 天后结束

100%

150+

2
2026 March 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2026 March 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

$279k 交易量
$23k 流动性
7 天后结束

99%

4th or lower

N
Natural Disaster in 2026?

Natural Disaster in 2026?

$191k 交易量
$21k 流动性
6
9 个月后结束

30%

Yes

M
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

$7.5m 交易量
$48k 流动性
9 个月后结束

98%

↑2k

H
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

$677k 交易量
$15k 流动性
9
12 个月后结束

45%

1

9
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

$174k 交易量
$16k 流动性
6
9 个月后结束

12%

Yes

M
Max Arctic sea ice extent this winter?

Weather · climate

Max Arctic sea ice extent this winter?

$44k 交易量
$4k 流动性
2
已结束

96%

14.2-14.4m sq km

W
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

$315k 交易量
$7k 流动性
6
9 个月后结束

33%

Yes

N
Named storm forms before hurricane season?

Natural Disaster · Science

Named storm forms before hurricane season?

$329k 交易量
$3k 流动性
大约 2 个月后结束

42%

Yes

M
Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

Weather · climate

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

$29k 交易量
$4k 流动性
6
6 个月后结束

36%

<4m sq km

W
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

$112k 交易量
$6k 流动性
3
9 个月后结束

73%

Yes

1
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

$530k 交易量
$28k 流动性
26
9 个月后结束

6%

Yes

1
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

$102k 交易量
$12k 流动性
6
9 个月后结束

4%

Yes

M
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

$140k 交易量
$16k 流动性
9 个月后结束

19%

Yes

5
5kt meteor strike in 2026?

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

$276k 交易量
$8k 流动性
9 个月后结束

37%

Yes