Federal Reserve 预测与赔率· 169 个市场

Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?

Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?

$72k 交易量
$21k 流动性
3 个月后结束

94%

Thom Tillis

Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___  by March 31?

Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by March 31?

$0 交易量
$3k 流动性
大约 11 小时后结束

53%

>5%

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

$24k 交易量
$18k 流动性
9
9 个月后结束

24%

Yes

US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?

US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?

$0 交易量
$5k 流动性
4
9 个月后结束

14%

Yes

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

$5.9m 交易量
$360k 流动性
🔥$364k 今日
8
8 个月后结束

34%

3.75%

Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?

Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?

$65k 交易量
$31k 流动性
1
大约 2 个月后结束

3%

Yes

Fed decision in April?

Fed decision in April?

$38.5m 交易量
$3.4m 流动性
🔥$1.9m 今日
18
29 天后结束

97%

No change

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

$15.7m 交易量
$1.8m 流动性
🔥$369k 今日
72
7 个月后结束

95%

Kevin Warsh

Fed Decision in July?

Fed Decision in July?

$2.5m 交易量
$253k 流动性
🔥$301k 今日
4 个月后结束

78%

No change

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

$1.3m 交易量
$251k 流动性
🔥$281k 今日
18
9 个月后结束

64%

↓ 3.25%

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

$14.7m 交易量
$1.2m 流动性
🔥$279k 今日
58
9 个月后结束

37%

0 (0 bps)

Fed Decision in June?

Fed Decision in June?

$4.6m 交易量
$906k 流动性
🔥$193k 今日
11
3 个月后结束

87%

No change

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Fed rate hike in 2026?

$674k 交易量
$49k 流动性
26
8 个月后结束

24%

Yes

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?

$435k 交易量
$24k 流动性
11
大约 2 个月后结束

53%

May 15

Fed rate cut by...?

Fed rate cut by...?

$1.2m 交易量
$179k 流动性
15
3 个月后结束

64%

December Meeting

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

$1.6m 交易量
$234k 流动性
10
9 个月后结束

90%

SpaceX

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

$1.8m 交易量
$140k 流动性
36
大约 1 个月后结束

2%

May 14

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

$70k 交易量
$20k 流动性
2
9 个月后结束

20%

Yes

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

$97k 交易量
$34k 流动性
3
7 个月后结束

53%

US x Iran Ceasefire

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

$9k 交易量
$6k 流动性
11 个月后结束

79%

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