Gpt 4 预测与赔率· 104 个市场

G
GPT-6 released by…?

GPT-6 released by…?

$361k 交易量
$33k 流动性
40
已结束

82%

December 31, 2026

G
GPT-5.5 released by...?

GPT-5.5 released by...?

$298k 交易量
$16k 流动性
5

94%

June 30

O
OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

$3k 交易量
$732 流动性
1
3 个月后结束

46%

Yes

O
OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

$18k 交易量
$915 流动性
4
3 个月后结束

57%

60%+

C
ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

$598 交易量
$3k 流动性
10 天后结束

7%

Yes

C
ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?

$13k 交易量
$6k 流动性
已结束

2%

Yes

V
VEO 4 released by...?

VEO 4 released by...?

$41k 交易量
$15k 流动性
1
已结束

51%

April 30

C
ChatGPT Outage by...?

ChatGPT Outage by...?

$25k 交易量
$7k 流动性
17 天后结束

63%

April 17

C
Claude 4.7 released by...?

Claude 4.7 released by...?

$63k 交易量
$15k 流动性
6
3 个月后结束

49%

June 30

H
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

$668k 交易量
$17k 流动性
10
12 个月后结束

43%

1

C
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs STATE (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Playoffs

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs STATE (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Playoffs

$0 交易量
$1k 流动性
大约 9 小时后结束

68%

Team Nemesis

C
Counter-Strike: Skele vs LE-LUX Esports (BO3) - CCT Oceania Series #4 Group B

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Skele vs LE-LUX Esports (BO3) - CCT Oceania Series #4 Group B

$5k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

Skele

D
DeepSeek V4 released by...?

DeepSeek V4 released by...?

$898k 交易量
$24k 流动性
1
15 天后结束

75%

April 30

G
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?

Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?

$30k 交易量
$9k 流动性
8
3 个月后结束

17%

Yes

W
Will Factset Research Systems (FDS) beat quarterly earnings?

Will Factset Research Systems (FDS) beat quarterly earnings?

$3k 交易量
$503 流动性
大约 8 小时后结束

77%

Yes

C
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs ALGO Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stage

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs ALGO Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stage

$0 交易量
$701 流动性
大约 12 小时后结束

38%

Rune Eaters

C
Counter-Strike: Atputies vs 3DMAX (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group B

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Atputies vs 3DMAX (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group B

$2k 交易量
$1k 流动性
大约 14 小时后结束

17%

Atputies

E
English Premier League - Top 4 Finish

Soccer · Sports

English Premier League - Top 4 Finish

$1.2m 交易量
$136k 流动性
20
大约 2 个月后结束

100%

Arsenal

C
Claude Mythos released by…?

Claude Mythos released by…?

$43k 交易量
$21k 流动性
1
30 天后结束

71%

June 30

C
Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs MINLATE (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Playoffs

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs MINLATE (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Playoffs

$0 交易量
$404 流动性
大约 18 小时后结束

74%

ECSTATIC