Gpt 4 预测与赔率· 104 个市场

GPT-6 released by…?

GPT-6 released by…?

$358k 交易量
$41k 流动性
40
已结束

82%

December 31, 2026

GPT-5.5 released by...?

GPT-5.5 released by...?

$296k 交易量
$22k 流动性
4

93%

June 30

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

$3k 交易量
$1k 流动性
1
3 个月后结束

37%

Yes

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

$18k 交易量
$957 流动性
4
3 个月后结束

56%

60%+

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

$354 交易量
$3k 流动性
10 天后结束

8%

Yes

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?

$13k 交易量
$6k 流动性
大约 7 小时后结束

2%

Yes

VEO 4 released by...?

VEO 4 released by...?

$41k 交易量
$14k 流动性
1
大约 7 小时后结束

2%

Yes

ChatGPT Outage by...?

ChatGPT Outage by...?

$25k 交易量
$4k 流动性
已结束

20%

Yes

Claude 4.7 released by...?

Claude 4.7 released by...?

$63k 交易量
$17k 流动性
6
3 个月后结束

49%

June 30

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

$666k 交易量
$22k 流动性
9
大约 1 年后结束

44%

1

Counter-Strike: Skele vs LE-LUX Esports (BO3) - CCT Oceania Series #4 Group B

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Skele vs LE-LUX Esports (BO3) - CCT Oceania Series #4 Group B

$5k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

Skele

DeepSeek V4 released by...?

DeepSeek V4 released by...?

$893k 交易量
$26k 流动性
15 天后结束

56%

April 15

Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?

Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?

$30k 交易量
$14k 流动性
8
3 个月后结束

17%

Yes

CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?

CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?

$0 交易量
$3k 流动性
9 个月后结束

11%

Yes

Will Factset Research Systems (FDS) beat quarterly earnings?

Will Factset Research Systems (FDS) beat quarterly earnings?

$3k 交易量
$631 流动性
大约 20 小时后结束

78%

Yes

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

$440k 交易量
$37k 流动性
2
9 个月后结束

25%

Yes

Counter-Strike: Atputies vs 3DMAX (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group B

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Atputies vs 3DMAX (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group B

$229 交易量
$342 流动性
1 天后结束

37%

Atputies

English Premier League - Top 4 Finish

Soccer · Sports

English Premier League - Top 4 Finish

$1.1m 交易量
$135k 流动性
18
大约 2 个月后结束

100%

Arsenal

Claude Mythos released by…?

Claude Mythos released by…?

$42k 交易量
$20k 流动性
1
大约 1 个月后结束

70%

June 30

Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Game Hunters (BO3) - Circuit X Betboom Redemption Curitiba Group B

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Game Hunters (BO3) - Circuit X Betboom Redemption Curitiba Group B

$3k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

Game Hunters