Gpt 4 预测与赔率· 105 个市场

G
GPT-6 released by…?

GPT-6 released by…?

$216k 交易量
$23k 流动性
40
已结束

83%

December 31, 2026

G
GPT-5.5 released by...?

GPT-5.5 released by...?

$301k 交易量
$22k 流动性
4

93%

June 30

O
OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

$3k 交易量
$741 流动性
1
3 个月后结束

50%

Yes

O
OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

$18k 交易量
$1k 流动性
4
3 个月后结束

41%

60%+

C
ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

$1k 交易量
$9k 流动性
7 天后结束

6%

Yes

V
VEO 4 released by...?

VEO 4 released by...?

$43k 交易量
$2k 流动性
2
已结束

14%

Yes

C
ChatGPT Outage by...?

ChatGPT Outage by...?

$30k 交易量
$7k 流动性
14 天后结束

65%

April 17

C
Claude 4.7 released by...?

Claude 4.7 released by...?

$70k 交易量
$12k 流动性
6
3 个月后结束

67%

June 30

H
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

$677k 交易量
$16k 流动性
9
12 个月后结束

45%

1

C
Counter-Strike: Skele vs LE-LUX Esports (BO3) - CCT Oceania Series #4 Group B

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Skele vs LE-LUX Esports (BO3) - CCT Oceania Series #4 Group B

$5k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

Skele

C
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Omega (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stage

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Omega (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stage

$0 交易量
$559 流动性
1 天后结束

32%

Rune Eaters

D
DeepSeek V4 released by...?

DeepSeek V4 released by...?

$948k 交易量
$32k 流动性
12 天后结束

86%

May 15

G
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?

Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?

$30k 交易量
$12k 流动性
8
3 个月后结束

19%

Yes

C
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Rebels Gaming (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Playoffs

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Rebels Gaming (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Playoffs

$468 交易量
$871 流动性
大约 9 小时后结束

74%

Team Nemesis

C
Counter-Strike: STATE vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stage

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: STATE vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stage

$0 交易量
$271 流动性
1 天后结束

51%

STATE

C
CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?

CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?

$66k 交易量
$2k 流动性
9 个月后结束

13%

Yes

C
Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Playoffs

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Playoffs

$89 交易量
$10k 流动性
大约 6 小时后结束

61%

ECSTATIC

N
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

$443k 交易量
$35k 流动性
2
9 个月后结束

41%

Yes

E
English Premier League - Top 4 Finish

Soccer · Sports

English Premier League - Top 4 Finish

$1.6m 交易量
$126k 流动性
18
大约 2 个月后结束

100%

Arsenal

C
Claude Mythos released by…?

Claude Mythos released by…?

$65k 交易量
$19k 流动性
1
27 天后结束

60%

June 30