Intelligence 预测与赔率· 831 个市场

FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?

FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?

$4k 交易量
$7k 流动性
19 天后结束

65%

Yes

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

$45k 交易量
$6k 流动性
9
9 个月后结束

22%

Yes

US forces enter Iran by..?

US forces enter Iran by..?

$53.9m 交易量
$1.6m 流动性
🔥$7.9m 今日
5,020

76%

December 31

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

$2.5m 交易量
$346k 流动性
🔥$235k 今日
9 个月后结束

57%

Lori Chavez-DeRemer

How many times will the US strike Somalia in March?

How many times will the US strike Somalia in March?

$768k 交易量
$98k 流动性
🔥$81k 今日
4 天后结束

96%

6-9

US strike on Cuba by...?

US strike on Cuba by...?

$2.8m 交易量
$70k 流动性
🔥$51k 今日
49
9 个月后结束

38%

December 31

Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?

Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?

$134k 交易量
$18k 流动性
19
3 个月后结束

66%

Yes

U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?

U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?

$109k 交易量
$13k 流动性
大约 9 小时后结束

2%

Yes

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

$234k 交易量
$43k 流动性
3
大约 1 个月后结束

24%

April 30

US announces military support of Kurds by...?

US announces military support of Kurds by...?

$482k 交易量
$10k 流动性
40
大约 1 个月后结束

19%

April 30

U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15?

U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15?

$9k 交易量
$10k 流动性
15 天后结束

32%

Yes

Tulsi Gabbard out by...?

Tulsi Gabbard out by...?

$106k 交易量
$25k 流动性
2
3 个月后结束

28%

June 30

US strike on Mexico by...?

US strike on Mexico by...?

$3.2m 交易量
$69k 流动性
161
9 个月后结束

24%

December 31

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?

$45k 交易量
$11k 流动性
3
大约 1 个月后结束

18%

Yes

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by...?

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by...?

$1.4m 交易量
$44k 流动性
3 个月后结束

28%

June 30

US strike on Colombia by...?

US strike on Colombia by...?

$1.5m 交易量
$32k 流动性
43
已结束

22%

December 31

US announces military support of Iran opposition by...?

US announces military support of Iran opposition by...?

$232k 交易量
$15k 流动性
10
大约 1 个月后结束

8%

April 30

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?

$52k 交易量
$41k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束

57%

June 30

Will the US accuse Iran of Oslo Embassy attack?

Will the US accuse Iran of Oslo Embassy attack?

$428k 交易量
$13k 流动性
27

2%

Yes

Will Iran claim responsibility for Oslo Embassy attack?

Will Iran claim responsibility for Oslo Embassy attack?

$304k 交易量
$12k 流动性
8

1%

Yes