2024 Ca Senate Primary Predictions & Odds· 161 markets
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
$1.3m Vol.
$291k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$1.3m Vol.$291k Liq.Ends in 7 months
52%
Democratic Party
Which party will win the House in 2026?
$4.1m Vol.
$457k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
$4.1m Vol.$457k Liq.1Ends in 7 months
85%
Democratic Party
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
$0 Vol.
$6k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$6k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
82%
Yes
Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?
$238k Vol.
$42k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$238k Vol.$42k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
21%
April 30
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
$666k Vol.
$18k Liq.
9
Ends in about 1 year
$666k Vol.$18k Liq.9Ends in about 1 year
44%
1
Will Lamb Weston Holdings (LW) beat quarterly earnings?
$17k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
$17k Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in 2 days
91%
Yes
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$100k Vol.
$12k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$100k Vol.$12k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
12%
Yes
Will Delta Air Lines (DAL) beat quarterly earnings?
$689 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
$689 Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in 9 days
76%
Yes
Will Factset Research Systems (FDS) beat quarterly earnings?
$3k Vol.
$643 Liq.
Ends in about 19 hours
$3k Vol.$643 Liq.Ends in about 19 hours
77%
Yes
1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?
$50k Vol.
$10k Liq.
4
Ends in about 6 hours
$50k Vol.$10k Liq.4Ends in about 6 hours
1%
Yes
25%
Yes
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?
$30k Vol.
$6k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$30k Vol.$6k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
33%
Yes
Culture
Justin Aguiar convicted of sexual assault before 2027?
$52k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$52k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 9 months
6%
Yes
Will MSC Industrial Direct (MSM) beat quarterly earnings?
$12k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
$12k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 2 days
83%
Yes
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$129k Vol.
$14k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$129k Vol.$14k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
16%
Yes
Will McCormick & Company (MKC) beat quarterly earnings?
$4k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 19 hours
$4k Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in about 19 hours
66%
Yes
Will Conagra Brands (CAG) beat quarterly earnings?
$6k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
$6k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 2 days
65%
Yes
Will Dave and Buster's Entertainment (PLAY) beat quarterly earnings?
$7k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$7k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 1 day
21%
Yes
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
$38k Vol.
$19k Liq.
8
Ends in about 1 year
$38k Vol.$19k Liq.8Ends in about 1 year
12%
Yes
