3lau Predictions & Odds· 129 markets
Claude 5 released by…?
$2.9m Vol.
$68k Liq.
163
Ends in about 1 month
$2.9m Vol.$68k Liq.163Ends in about 1 month
75%
June 30, 2026
Claude Mythos released by…?
$42k Vol.
$14k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
$42k Vol.$14k Liq.1Ends in about 1 month
70%
June 30
49%
June 30
Will Claude go down on __ days in April?
$10k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$10k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
42%
9-11
Anthropic Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
$188k Vol.
$12k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$188k Vol.$12k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
91%
35%+
Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
$56k Vol.
$1k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$56k Vol.$1k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
56%
Yes
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?
$166k Vol.
$34k Liq.
67
Ends in 9 months
$166k Vol.$34k Liq.67Ends in 9 months
17%
December 31, 2026
Sports · Japan J2 League
Blaublitz Akita vs. Shōnan Bellmāre
$34 Vol.
$107 Liq.
Ends in 12 days
$34 Vol.$107 Liq.Ends in 12 days
47%
Draw (Blaublitz Akita vs. Shōnan Bellmāre)
SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?
$20k Vol.
$4k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$20k Vol.$4k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
70%
Yes
Sports · Japan J2 League
Vanraure Hachinohe FC vs. Blaublitz Akita
$0 Vol.
$18 Liq.
Ends in 26 days
$0 Vol.$18 Liq.Ends in 26 days
51%
Vanraure Hachinohe FC
Sports · Japan J2 League
Blaublitz Akita vs. Yokohama FC
$3k Vol.
$114 Liq.
Ends in 19 days
$3k Vol.$114 Liq.Ends in 19 days
50%
Draw (Blaublitz Akita vs. Yokohama FC)
Sports · Japan J2 League
Yokohama FC vs. Blaublitz Akita
$0 Vol.
$207 Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$0 Vol.$207 Liq.Ends in 4 days
47%
Blaublitz Akita
Sports · Soccer
Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?
$190k Vol.
$883 Liq.
4
Ends in 4 months
$190k Vol.$883 Liq.4Ends in 4 months
14%
Yes
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?
$45k Vol.
$10k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$45k Vol.$10k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
17%
Yes
Big AI out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?
$1k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
$1k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 15 days
81%
April 15
Soccer · salah
Which league will Mo Salah play in next?
$3k Vol.
$20k Liq.
4
Ends in 5 months
$3k Vol.$20k Liq.4Ends in 5 months
65%
Saudi Pro League
Cristiano Ronaldo · transfer
Which club will Cristiano Ronaldo play for next?
$33k Vol.
$11k Liq.
4
Ends in 5 months
$33k Vol.$11k Liq.4Ends in 5 months
28%
LA Galaxy
Colombia Presidential Election
$8.9m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
🔥$152k today
357
Ends in 3 months
$8.9m Vol.🔥$152k today$1.1m Liq.357Ends in 3 months
50%
Candidate M
Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?
$1.8m Vol.
$233k Liq.
5
Ends in 2 months
$1.8m Vol.$233k Liq.5Ends in 2 months
74%
Iván Cepeda Castro
Which company will have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
$1.2m Vol.
$170k Liq.
21
Ends in about 5 hours
$1.2m Vol.$170k Liq.21Ends in about 5 hours
99%
OpenAI