3lau Predictions & Odds· 128 markets
Claude 5 released by…?
$2.9m Vol.
$67k Liq.
162
Ends in about 1 month
$2.9m Vol.$67k Liq.162Ends in about 1 month
76%
June 30, 2026
Claude Mythos released by…?
$42k Vol.
$13k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
$42k Vol.$13k Liq.1Ends in about 1 month
69%
June 30
50%
June 30
Will Claude go down on __ days in April?
$9k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$9k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
42%
9-11
Anthropic Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
$188k Vol.
$12k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$188k Vol.$12k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
94%
35%+
Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
$56k Vol.
$952 Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$56k Vol.$952 Liq.11Ends in 3 months
56%
Yes
Sports · Soccer
Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?
$190k Vol.
$956 Liq.
4
Ends in 4 months
$190k Vol.$956 Liq.4Ends in 4 months
14%
Yes
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?
$166k Vol.
$32k Liq.
67
Ends in 9 months
$166k Vol.$32k Liq.67Ends in 9 months
16%
December 31, 2026
SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?
$20k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$20k Vol.$5k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
70%
Yes
Sports · Japan J2 League
Vanraure Hachinohe FC vs. Blaublitz Akita
$0 Vol.
$31 Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$0 Vol.$31 Liq.Ends in 27 days
51%
Vanraure Hachinohe FC
Sports · Japan J2 League
Blaublitz Akita vs. Yokohama FC
$3k Vol.
$156 Liq.
Ends in 20 days
$3k Vol.$156 Liq.Ends in 20 days
50%
Draw (Blaublitz Akita vs. Yokohama FC)
Sports · Japan J2 League
Blaublitz Akita vs. Shōnan Bellmāre
$0 Vol.
$187 Liq.
Ends in 13 days
$0 Vol.$187 Liq.Ends in 13 days
47%
Draw (Blaublitz Akita vs. Shōnan Bellmāre)
Sports · Japan J2 League
Yokohama FC vs. Blaublitz Akita
$0 Vol.
$314 Liq.
Ends in 5 days
$0 Vol.$314 Liq.Ends in 5 days
46%
Blaublitz Akita
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?
$44k Vol.
$12k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$44k Vol.$12k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
19%
Yes
Big AI out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?
$1k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
$1k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 15 days
77%
April 15
Soccer · salah
Which league will Mo Salah play in next?
$2k Vol.
$23k Liq.
4
Ends in 5 months
$2k Vol.$23k Liq.4Ends in 5 months
66%
Saudi Pro League
Cristiano Ronaldo · transfer
Which club will Cristiano Ronaldo play for next?
$33k Vol.
$12k Liq.
4
Ends in 5 months
$33k Vol.$12k Liq.4Ends in 5 months
28%
LA Galaxy
Colombia Presidential Election
$8.8m Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
🔥$159k today
353
Ends in 3 months
$8.8m Vol.🔥$159k today$1.5m Liq.353Ends in 3 months
50%
Candidate M
Which company will have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
$1.1m Vol.
$167k Liq.
20
Ends in about 11 hours
$1.1m Vol.$167k Liq.20Ends in about 11 hours
99%
OpenAI
Geopolitics · World
Next leader out of power before 2027?
$3.4m Vol.
$460k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$3.4m Vol.$460k Liq.Ends in 9 months
60%
Orbán - Hungary PM