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Abbas Predictions & Odds· 124 markets

AllPoliticsGazaStrikeIranInternational RelationsTrumpMiddle EastOil IndustryRefineryIsraelPresidencyOilPalestineMahmoud AbbasAbbasLebanonNuclearStrikesGeopoliticsTrump PresidencyWorldBahrainIran RegimeMilitary StrikesIran Offensive StrikesRegional SpilloverU.S. X IranIsrael X IranKing Of BahrainAraghchi
A
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?

Geopolitics·Araghchi

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?

$9k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 30 days

18%

April 30

M
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?

Geopolitics·Israel

Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?

$97k Vol.
$8k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months

41%

December 31

I
Iran leader end of 2026?

World·Middle East

Iran leader end of 2026?

$5.6m Vol.
$864k Liq.
71
Ends in 9 months

55%

Mojtaba Khamenei

N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Geopolitics · World

Next leader out of power before 2027?

$3.4m Vol.
$402k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

60%

Orbán - Hungary PM

I
Iran military action against ___ by April 30?

Geopolitics·U.S. x Iran

Iran military action against ___ by April 30?

$186k Vol.
$151k Liq.
1
Ends in 30 days

99%

Bahrain

W
What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

Politics·Iran

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

$379k Vol.
$13k Liq.
69

17%

Isfahan nuclear facility

I
Iran military action against Israel on...?

Geopolitics·Military Strikes

Iran military action against Israel on...?

$5k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in 30 days

91%

April 3

W
Will Iran claim responsibility for Oslo Embassy attack?

Geopolitics·U.S. x Iran

Will Iran claim responsibility for Oslo Embassy attack?

$304k Vol.
$12k Liq.
9

1%

Yes

H
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain?

Geopolitics·Regional Spillover

Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain?

$115k Vol.
$12k Liq.
12
Ends in 3 months

12%

Yes

I
Iran military action against Israel on...?

Geopolitics·Israel x Iran

Iran military action against Israel on...?

$2.0m Vol.
$11k Liq.
🔥$87k today
2
Ended

98%

March 27

M
Military action against Iran ends on...?

Politics·strike

Military action against Iran ends on...?

$41k Vol.
$178k Liq.
Ends in 30 days

58%

Military action through April 30

W
Will the US accuse Iran of Oslo Embassy attack?

Geopolitics·U.S. x Iran

Will the US accuse Iran of Oslo Embassy attack?

$431k Vol.
$8k Liq.
28

2%

Yes

H
How many different countries will Israel strike in April?

Geopolitics·Lebanon

How many different countries will Israel strike in April?

$19k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in 30 days

45%

3

I
Iran military action against ___ by March 31?

Politics·Iran

Iran military action against ___ by March 31?

$3.6m Vol.
$185k Liq.
🔥$63k today
1
Ended

98%

Bahrain

A
Abbas still President of Palestine by Jan 31?

Politics·abbas

Abbas still President of Palestine by Jan 31?

$851 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Yes

W
Will Mahmoud Abbas still be President of the State of Palestine by the end of 2023?

Politics·mahmoud abbas

Will Mahmoud Abbas still be President of the State of Palestine by the end of 2023?

$35k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Yes

M
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?

Geopolitics·Gaza

Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?

$32k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended

No

W
Will Mahmoud Abbas attend the UN General Assembly?

Geopolitics·Middle East

Will Mahmoud Abbas attend the UN General Assembly?

$7k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

W
Will any major Iranian oil refinery be taken out by Nov 30?

Politics·international relations

Will any major Iranian oil refinery be taken out by Nov 30?

$18k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended

No

N
Next leader out of power in 2025?

World · Geopolitics

Next leader out of power in 2025?

$2.2m Vol.
$7k Liq.
17
Ended

None in 2025