Abbas Predictions & Odds· 124 markets

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?
$8k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$8k Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
21%
April 30

Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?
$97k Vol.
$8k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$97k Vol.$8k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
41%
December 31

Geopolitics · World
Next leader out of power before 2027?
$3.4m Vol.
$352k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$3.4m Vol.$352k Liq.Ends in 9 months
60%
Orbán - Hungary PM

Iran leader end of 2026?
$5.6m Vol.
$799k Liq.
71
Ends in 9 months
$5.6m Vol.$799k Liq.71Ends in 9 months
47%
Mojtaba Khamenei

Iran military action against ___ by April 30?
$165k Vol.
$138k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$165k Vol.$138k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
98%
Kuwait

17%
Isfahan nuclear facility

Iran military action against Israel on...?
$3k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$3k Vol.$32k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
87%
April 1

Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain?
$115k Vol.
$10k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$115k Vol.$10k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
13%
Yes

Iran military action against Israel on...?
$2.0m Vol.
$15k Liq.
🔥$213k today
1
Ends in about 9 hours
$2.0m Vol.🔥$213k today$15k Liq.1Ends in about 9 hours
97%
March 27

Military action against Iran ends on...?
$25k Vol.
$126k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$25k Vol.$126k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
64%
Military action through April 30

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?
$237k Vol.
$44k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$237k Vol.$44k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
21%
April 30

Iran military action against ___ by March 31?
$3.6m Vol.
$183k Liq.
🔥$261k today
Ends in about 9 hours
$3.6m Vol.🔥$261k today$183k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
97%
Bahrain

Will Mahmoud Abbas still be President of the State of Palestine by the end of 2023?
$35k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$35k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
Yes

Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?
$32k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
$32k Vol.$0 Liq.3Ended
No

Will any major Iranian oil refinery be taken out by Nov 30?
$18k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended
$18k Vol.$0 Liq.4Ended
No

World · Geopolitics
Next leader out of power in 2025?
$2.2m Vol.
$7k Liq.
17
Ended
$2.2m Vol.$7k Liq.17Ended
None in 2025

Next Supreme Leader of Iran?
$1.9m Vol.
$0 Liq.
1,665
Ends in 9 months
$1.9m Vol.$0 Liq.1,665Ends in 9 months
Mojtaba Khamenei

Geopolitics · World
Next leader out of power before 2027?
$434k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$434k Vol.$0 Liq.Ends in 9 months
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader

