Presidency Predictions & Odds· 1207 markets
W
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
$409k Vol.
$131k Liq.
21
Ends in 9 months
$409k Vol.$131k Liq.21Ends in 9 months
7%
Yes
W
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
$1.4m Vol.
$385k Liq.
8
Ends in 7 months
$1.4m Vol.$385k Liq.8Ends in 7 months
52%
Democratic Party
U
24%
December 31, 2026
T
57%
December 31
R
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
$59k Vol.
$16k Liq.
6
Ends in 7 months
$59k Vol.$16k Liq.6Ends in 7 months
3%
Yes
W
6%
Yes
H
69%
Yes
W
Will Trump visit China by...?
$19.5m Vol.
$371k Liq.
🔥$210k today
435
Ends in 27 days
$19.5m Vol.🔥$210k today$371k Liq.435Ends in 27 days
82%
June 30
W
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?
$5.2m Vol.
$232k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$5.2m Vol.$232k Liq.Ends in 9 months
8%
December 31
W
Where will Trump and Putin meet next?
$4.6m Vol.
$176k Liq.
19
Ends in 3 months
$4.6m Vol.$176k Liq.19Ends in 3 months
88%
No meeting by June 30
N
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
$1.4m Vol.
$105k Liq.
31
Ends in 9 months
$1.4m Vol.$105k Liq.31Ends in 9 months
14%
December 31
W
14%
Yes
U
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?
$2.3m Vol.
$43k Liq.
122
Ends in 9 months
$2.3m Vol.$43k Liq.122Ends in 9 months
11%
December 31, 2026
U
US x Russia military clash by...?
$585k Vol.
$28k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months
$585k Vol.$28k Liq.15Ends in 9 months
9%
December 31, 2026
W
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
$650k Vol.
$53k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$650k Vol.$53k Liq.Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes
T
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by ___?
$104k Vol.
$7k Liq.
24
Ended
$104k Vol.$7k Liq.24Ended
4%
Yes
W
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
$329k Vol.
$16k Liq.
36
Ends in 3 months
$329k Vol.$16k Liq.36Ends in 3 months
48%
Yes
I
14%
June 30
T
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?
$7k Vol.
$895 Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$7k Vol.$895 Liq.1Ends in 9 months
65%
December 31, 2026
W
66%
Ken Paxton - TX-Sen