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Abbas Predictions & Odds· 124 markets

AllPoliticsGazaStrikeIranInternational RelationsTrumpMiddle EastOil IndustryRefineryIsraelPresidencyOilPalestineMahmoud AbbasAbbasLebanonNuclearStrikesGeopoliticsTrump PresidencyWorldBahrainIran RegimeMilitary StrikesIran Offensive StrikesRegional SpilloverU.S. X IranIsrael X IranKing Of BahrainAraghchi
A
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?

Geopolitics·Araghchi

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?

$21k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 27 days

9%

Yes

M
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?

Geopolitics·Israel

Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?

$97k Vol.
$19k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months

39%

December 31

I
Iran leader end of 2026?

World·Middle East

Iran leader end of 2026?

$5.8m Vol.
$973k Liq.
🔥$67k today
72
Ends in 9 months

66%

Mojtaba Khamenei

N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Geopolitics · World

Next leader out of power before 2027?

$3.5m Vol.
$395k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

64%

Orbán - Hungary PM

I
Iran military action against ___ by April 30?

Geopolitics·U.S. x Iran

Iran military action against ___ by April 30?

$230k Vol.
$730k Liq.
Ends in 27 days

100%

Bahrain

W
What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

Politics·Iran

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

$539k Vol.
$20k Liq.
🔥$120k today
173

17%

Yes

I
Iran military action against Israel on...?

Geopolitics·Military Strikes

Iran military action against Israel on...?

$68k Vol.
$81k Liq.
Ends in 27 days

95%

April 2

H
How many countries will Israel conduct military action against in April?

Geopolitics·Lebanon

How many countries will Israel conduct military action against in April?

$29k Vol.
$42k Liq.
Ends in 27 days

45%

3

H
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain?

Geopolitics·Regional Spillover

Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain?

$120k Vol.
$18k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months

11%

Yes

M
Military action against Iran ends on...?

Politics·strike

Military action against Iran ends on...?

$123k Vol.
$217k Liq.
Ends in 27 days

59%

Military action through April 30

I
Iran military action against ___ by March 31?

Politics·Iran

Iran military action against ___ by March 31?

$4.0m Vol.
$761k Liq.
🔥$236k today
Ended

100%

Bahrain

A
Abbas still President of Palestine by Jan 31?

Politics·abbas

Abbas still President of Palestine by Jan 31?

$851 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Yes

W
Will Mahmoud Abbas still be President of the State of Palestine by the end of 2023?

Politics·mahmoud abbas

Will Mahmoud Abbas still be President of the State of Palestine by the end of 2023?

$35k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Yes

M
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?

Geopolitics·Gaza

Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?

$32k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended

No

W
Will Mahmoud Abbas attend the UN General Assembly?

Geopolitics·Middle East

Will Mahmoud Abbas attend the UN General Assembly?

$7k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

W
Will any major Iranian oil refinery be taken out by Nov 30?

Politics·international relations

Will any major Iranian oil refinery be taken out by Nov 30?

$18k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended

No

N
Next leader out of power in 2025?

World · Geopolitics

Next leader out of power in 2025?

$2.2m Vol.
$7k Liq.
17
Ended

None in 2025

N
Next Supreme Leader of Iran?

World·Iran

Next Supreme Leader of Iran?

$1.9m Vol.
$0 Liq.
1,665
Ends in 9 months

Mojtaba Khamenei

N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Geopolitics · World

Next leader out of power before 2027?

$434k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in 9 months

Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader

N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Geopolitics · Politics

Next leader out of power before 2027?

$11.1m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in 9 months

Schoof - Netherlands PM