Agi Predictions & Odds· 126 markets

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

$45k Vol.
$5k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months

21%

Yes

OpenAI becomes a for-profit before April 2025?

OpenAI becomes a for-profit before April 2025?

$176k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

AGI (AGBK) IPO Closing Market Cap

AGI (AGBK) IPO Closing Market Cap

$47k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

<2.75B

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2024?

artificial general intelligence · technology

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2024?

$907k Vol.
$0 Liq.
54
Ended

No

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before July?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before July?

$195k Vol.
$0 Liq.
22
Ended

No

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?

$337k Vol.
$0 Liq.
31
Ended

No

How high will AI score on ARC-AGI-2?

How high will AI score on ARC-AGI-2?

$269k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended

≥85% by November 3

Will anyone win the ARC Prize Grand Prize?

Will anyone win the ARC Prize Grand Prize?

$5k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended

Grand Prize Winner (Any CPT)

Nothing Ever Happens: AI Edition

Nothing Ever Happens: AI Edition

$169k Vol.
$0 Liq.
36
Ended

Yes

What will Sam Altman say on The Tonight Show on December 8?

What will Sam Altman say on The Tonight Show on December 8?

$480k Vol.
$0 Liq.
166
Ended

Polymarket / Bet

What will Trump say in December?

Mentions · Politics

What will Trump say in December?

$180k Vol.
$0 Liq.
35
Ended

The Apprentice

What will Elon Musk say during AMA on August 6?

What will Elon Musk say during AMA on August 6?

$37k Vol.
$0 Liq.
39
Ended

Grok 5+ times

Which robot dancer brands will feature at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala

Unitree Robotics

What will Trump say during Signing Ceremony on January 14?

What will Trump say during Signing Ceremony on January 14?

$119k Vol.
$0 Liq.
83
Ended

Kennedy / Autism

The Last Crescendo: Beterbiev vs. Bivol

Sports · Boxing

The Last Crescendo: Beterbiev vs. Bivol

$331k Vol.
$0 Liq.
13
Ended

Vergil Ortiz Jr. vs. Israil Madrimov

The Bondi Parlay (Feb 13)

The Bondi Parlay (Feb 13)

$8k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

The Bondi Parlay (Feb 27)

The Bondi Parlay (Feb 27)

$17k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

The Bondi Parlay (Feb 20)

The Bondi Parlay (Feb 20)

$15k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down - October 15

Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down - October 15

$21k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended

Up

Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on October 23?

Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on October 23?

$400 Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended

Up