AI Technology Predictions & Odds· 127 markets
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sam altman · OpenAI
Sam Altman back on OpenAI board by Nov 30?
$15k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
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No
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Yes
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No
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mathematics · competition
Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August?
$276k Vol.
$0 Liq.
20
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No
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machine learning · technology
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
$144k Vol.
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19
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gemini · images
Will Gemini generate images of people again in February?
$34k Vol.
$0 Liq.
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$34k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
No
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artificial general intelligence · technology
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2024?
$907k Vol.
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54
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No
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technology · web search
Will OpenAI launch a Web Search Product by March 31?
$16k Vol.
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No
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artificial intelligence · technology
Will OpenAI release GPT-4.5 before April?
$22k Vol.
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No
