AI Technology Predictions & Odds· 127 markets

Sam Altman back on OpenAI board by Nov 30?

sam altman · OpenAI

Sam Altman back on OpenAI board by Nov 30?

$15k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended

No

GPT transaction fees by December 31?

GPT transaction fees by December 31?

$26k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Yes

GPT ads by...?

ai technology · Business

GPT ads by...?

$1.2m Vol.
$0 Liq.
206
Ends in about 9 hours

March 31

Will OpenAI launch a token in 2025?

Will OpenAI launch a token in 2025?

$100k Vol.
$0 Liq.
18
Ended

No

Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before July?

Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before July?

$17k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

OpenAI Sora public release in June?

OpenAI Sora public release in June?

$4k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August?

mathematics · competition

Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August?

$276k Vol.
$0 Liq.
20
Ended

No

OpenAI Sora public release before May?

OpenAI Sora public release before May?

$27k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended

No

Elon Musk bans Apple devices at his companies?

Elon Musk bans Apple devices at his companies?

$100k Vol.
$0 Liq.
9
Ended

No

OpenAI board out by end of week?

OpenAI · AI

OpenAI board out by end of week?

$31k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?

machine learning · technology

Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?

$144k Vol.
$0 Liq.
19
Ended
Will Sam Altman sue OpenAI?

sam altman · OpenAI

Will Sam Altman sue OpenAI?

$25k Vol.
$2 Liq.
3
Ended

No

Ilya still at OpenAI on Jan 1?

OpenAI · employment

Ilya still at OpenAI on Jan 1?

$49k Vol.
$0 Liq.
27
Ended

Yes

Will Gemini generate images of people again in February?

gemini · images

Will Gemini generate images of people again in February?

$34k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2024?

artificial general intelligence · technology

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2024?

$907k Vol.
$0 Liq.
54
Ended

No

Will OpenAI launch a Web Search Product by March 31?

technology · web search

Will OpenAI launch a Web Search Product by March 31?

$16k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

OpenAI renamed to ClosedAI in March?

AI · OpenAI

OpenAI renamed to ClosedAI in March?

$6k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

Will OpenAI release GPT-4.5 before April?

artificial intelligence · technology

Will OpenAI release GPT-4.5 before April?

$22k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

NYT drop OpenAI case by March?

nyt · OpenAI

NYT drop OpenAI case by March?

$10k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

AI on Amazon speaker by June?

amazon · technology

AI on Amazon speaker by June?

$4k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Yes