Alliance 90 Predictions & Odds· 110 markets

# of seats won by PT in 2026 Thailand Legislative Election?

0%

Yes

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

$27k Vol.
$1k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months

29%

Yes

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

$1.4m Vol.
$131k Liq.
32
Ends in 9 months

20%

December 31

Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?

Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?

$51k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

13%

Yes

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

$354 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 10 days

6%

Yes

Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

$9k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in 19 days

88%

GERB-SDS

AI bubble burst by...?

AI bubble burst by...?

$2.5m Vol.
$23k Liq.
81
Ends in 9 months

22%

December 31, 2026

Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

$14k Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ends in 19 days

68%

PP–DB

Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by...?

Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by...?

$47k Vol.
$6k Liq.
10
Ends in 15 days

67%

April 15

Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner

Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner

$10k Vol.
$13k Liq.
7
Ended

79%

No election before 2027

Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 31?

17%

Yes

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?

$13k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ended

2%

Yes

US announces military support of Iran opposition by...?

US announces military support of Iran opposition by...?

$234k Vol.
$16k Liq.
10
Ends in 30 days

8%

April 30

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?

13%

Yes

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

$4k Vol.
$11k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months

68%

Not revealed in 2026

Bulgaria Parliamentary Election Winner

Bulgaria Parliamentary Election Winner

$34k Vol.
$68k Liq.
3
Ends in 19 days

88%

PB

Pakistan military action against Kabul by...?

Pakistan military action against Kabul by...?

$22k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 15 days

41%

April 15

Will Russia capture Viroliubivka by...?

Will Russia capture Viroliubivka by...?

$15k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 30 days

14%

April 30

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

$0 Vol.
$6k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months

82%

Yes