Alliance 90 Predictions & Odds· 110 markets

# of seats won by PT in 2026 Thailand Legislative Election?
$306k Vol.
$62k Liq.
Ended
$306k Vol.$62k Liq.Ended
0%
Yes

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
$27k Vol.
$1k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
$27k Vol.$1k Liq.4Ends in 9 months
29%
Yes

NATO x Russia military clash by...?
$1.4m Vol.
$131k Liq.
32
Ends in 9 months
$1.4m Vol.$131k Liq.32Ends in 9 months
20%
December 31

Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?
$51k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$51k Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes

6%
Yes

Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
$9k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in 19 days
$9k Vol.$30k Liq.Ends in 19 days
88%
GERB-SDS

22%
December 31, 2026

Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
$14k Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ends in 19 days
$14k Vol.$39k Liq.Ends in 19 days
68%
PP–DB

Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by...?
$47k Vol.
$6k Liq.
10
Ends in 15 days
$47k Vol.$6k Liq.10Ends in 15 days
67%
April 15

79%
No election before 2027

Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 31?
$24k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ended
$24k Vol.$7k Liq.Ended
17%
Yes

US announces military support of Iran opposition by...?
$234k Vol.
$16k Liq.
10
Ends in 30 days
$234k Vol.$16k Liq.10Ends in 30 days
8%
April 30

Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 27?
$15k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ended
$15k Vol.$6k Liq.Ended
4%
Yes

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?
$4k Vol.
$11k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$4k Vol.$11k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
68%
Not revealed in 2026

Bulgaria Parliamentary Election Winner
$34k Vol.
$68k Liq.
3
Ends in 19 days
$34k Vol.$68k Liq.3Ends in 19 days
88%
PB

Pakistan military action against Kabul by...?
$22k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
$22k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 15 days
41%
April 15

Will Russia capture Viroliubivka by...?
$15k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 30 days
$15k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 30 days
14%
April 30

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
$0 Vol.
$6k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$6k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
82%
Yes
