Ballot Initiative Predictions & Odds· 104 markets
B
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
$85k Vol.
$9k Liq.
-1
Ends in 3 months
$85k Vol.$9k Liq.-1Ends in 3 months
70%
Yes
B
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
$2.8m Vol.
$51k Liq.
14
Ends in 7 months
$2.8m Vol.$51k Liq.14Ends in 7 months
35%
Yes
C
California voter ID referendum passes?
$0 Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in 7 months
22%
Yes
W
Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?
$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in 7 months
79%
Yes
W
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
$230k Vol.
$26k Liq.
6
Ends in 21 days
$230k Vol.$26k Liq.6Ends in 21 days
85%
Yes
W
Will the Virginia abortion protection amendment pass?
$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in 7 months
62%
Yes
N
New Trump executive order to restrict voting by March 31?
$766 Vol.
$625 Liq.
Ended
$766 Vol.$625 Liq.Ended
1%
Yes
W
Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?
$325 Vol.
$579 Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$325 Vol.$579 Liq.Ends in 7 months
11%
Yes
W
Will Trump act to ban mail-in voting or voting machines by June 30?
$2k Vol.
$8k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
$2k Vol.$8k Liq.5Ends in 3 months
60%
Yes
W
Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?
$6k Vol.
$268 Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$6k Vol.$268 Liq.Ends in 7 months
60%
Yes
S
SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?
$19k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
$19k Vol.$34k Liq.Ends in 4 months
69%
Yes
T
Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?
$4k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$4k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 3 months
8%
Yes
T
Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?
$240 Vol.
$290 Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$240 Vol.$290 Liq.1Ends in 9 months
21%
Yes
U
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
$227k Vol.
$36k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
$227k Vol.$36k Liq.7Ends in 3 months
12%
June 30
U
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
$9k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$9k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes
A
Assam Legislative Assembly Election Winner
$10k Vol.
$31k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 days
$10k Vol.$31k Liq.1Ends in 9 days
93%
BJP
W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$30k Vol.
$16k Liq.
4
Ends in 30 days
$30k Vol.$16k Liq.4Ends in 30 days
39%
April 30
W
Will Trump nationalize elections?
$13k Vol.
$8k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
$13k Vol.$8k Liq.4Ends in 9 months
21%
Yes
W
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?
$18k Vol.
$24k Liq.
8
Ends in 9 months
$18k Vol.$24k Liq.8Ends in 9 months
8%
Yes
K
Kerala Legislative Assembly Election Winner
$65k Vol.
$83k Liq.
21
Ends in 9 days
$65k Vol.$83k Liq.21Ends in 9 days
62%
INC