Banks Predictions & Odds· 209 markets
W
Which banks will fail by June 30?
$358k Vol.
$95k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
$358k Vol.$95k Liq.8Ends in 3 months
2%
Deutsche Bank
E
72%
No change
L
Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?
$1.2m Vol.
$75k Liq.
22
Ends in over 1 year
$1.2m Vol.$75k Liq.22Ends in over 1 year
44%
Morgan Stanley
E
75%
25 bps Increase
T
Trump · Fed Rates
Trump drops Powell investigation by…?
$5k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$5k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 3 months
67%
June 30
S
South African Reserve Bank Decision in May?
$4k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$4k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
62%
No Change
W
Will M&T Bank (MTB) beat quarterly earnings?
$19 Vol.
$442 Liq.
Ends in 13 days
$19 Vol.$442 Liq.Ends in 13 days
41%
Yes
M
Economy
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?
$0 Vol.
$2k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$2k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
24%
Yes
M
51%
Yes
U
No
I
Republican
W
Yes
W
All
Will any Russian bank be disconnected from SWIFT by April 1?
$293k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$293k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended