Board Appointments Predictions & Odds· 104 markets
W
Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?
$18.7m Vol.
$1.8m Liq.
🔥$1.1m today
73
Ends in 7 months
$18.7m Vol.🔥$1.1m today$1.8m Liq.73Ends in 7 months
97%
Kevin Warsh
K
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?
$441k Vol.
$42k Liq.
11
Ends in about 1 month
$441k Vol.$42k Liq.11Ends in about 1 month
53%
May 15
W
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$104k Vol.
$54k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$104k Vol.$54k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
53%
US x Iran Ceasefire
W
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?
$7k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$7k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes
W
Will Condoleezza Rice join the Trump administration by April 30?
$2k Vol.
$265 Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$2k Vol.$265 Liq.Ends in 27 days
5%
Yes
W
Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?
$368 Vol.
$6k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$368 Vol.$6k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
13%
Yes
N
Geopolitics · World
Next leader out of power before 2027?
$3.5m Vol.
$373k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$3.5m Vol.$373k Liq.Ends in 9 months
63%
Orbán - Hungary PM
J
Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by March 31?
$0 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ended
$0 Vol.$3k Liq.Ended
53%
>5%
W
Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?
$72k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$72k Vol.$25k Liq.Ends in 3 months
90%
Kevin Cramer
H
How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?
$62k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$62k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in 9 months
33%
51
A
3%
Yes
J
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?
$1.9m Vol.
$36k Liq.
37
Ends in about 1 month
$1.9m Vol.$36k Liq.37Ends in about 1 month
1%
Yes
F
88%
Pause–Pause–Pause
F
98%
Pause–Pause–Pause
R
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in June?
$12k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
$12k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 2 months
71%
Increase
T
Trump · Fed Rates
Trump drops Powell investigation by…?
$8k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$8k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 3 months
71%
June 30
T
Trump's mail-in voting executive order blocked in April?
$2k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$2k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 27 days
95%
Yes
L
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
$37k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$37k Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in 9 months
6%
Yes
V
yale · NCAA
Vicky Chun out as Yale AD by June 30, 2026?
$144 Vol.
$483 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$144 Vol.$483 Liq.Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$51k Vol.
$8k Liq.
14
Ends in 27 days
$51k Vol.$8k Liq.14Ends in 27 days
17%
Yes