Board Appointments Predictions & Odds· 103 markets
Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?
$15.7m Vol.
$1.7m Liq.
🔥$326k today
72
Ends in 7 months
$15.7m Vol.🔥$326k today$1.7m Liq.72Ends in 7 months
95%
Kevin Warsh
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?
$435k Vol.
$23k Liq.
11
Ends in about 2 months
$435k Vol.$23k Liq.11Ends in about 2 months
52%
May 15
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$97k Vol.
$35k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$97k Vol.$35k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
50%
US x Iran Ceasefire
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
$117k Vol.
$14k Liq.
8
Ends in 9 months
$117k Vol.$14k Liq.8Ends in 9 months
70%
December 31
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?
$7k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$7k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes
Will Condoleezza Rice join the Trump administration by April 30?
$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$2k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
2%
Yes
Which countries will join the Board of Peace by March 31?
$3.4m Vol.
$147k Liq.
132
Ends in about 9 hours
$3.4m Vol.$147k Liq.132Ends in about 9 hours
2%
India
Geopolitics · World
Next leader out of power before 2027?
$3.4m Vol.
$352k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$3.4m Vol.$352k Liq.Ends in 9 months
60%
Orbán - Hungary PM
Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition
$145k Vol.
$12k Liq.
2
Ends in about 9 hours
$145k Vol.$12k Liq.2Ends in about 9 hours
100%
Yes
Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by March 31?
$0 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$0 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
53%
>5%
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?
$65k Vol.
$31k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months
$65k Vol.$31k Liq.1Ends in about 2 months
3%
Yes
Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?
$72k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$72k Vol.$21k Liq.Ends in 3 months
94%
Thom Tillis
How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?
$211 Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$211 Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in 9 months
34%
54
3%
Yes
EPL · Soccer
Next Manchester United manager?
$446k Vol.
$32k Liq.
218
Ends in 9 months
$446k Vol.$32k Liq.218Ends in 9 months
62%
Michael Carrick
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?
$1.8m Vol.
$135k Liq.
36
Ends in about 1 month
$1.8m Vol.$135k Liq.36Ends in about 1 month
2%
May 14
83%
Pause–Pause–Pause
76%
Decrease
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?
$17k Vol.
$11k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$17k Vol.$11k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
5%
Yes