Board Resignations Predictions & Odds· 126 markets
J
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
$118k Vol.
$14k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$118k Vol.$14k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
70%
December 31
W
Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?
$114 Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$114 Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 3 months
23%
Yes
W
Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?
$17.8m Vol.
$1.8m Liq.
🔥$1.1m today
74
Ends in 7 months
$17.8m Vol.🔥$1.1m today$1.8m Liq.74Ends in 7 months
96%
Kevin Warsh
W
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$103k Vol.
$44k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$103k Vol.$44k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
54%
US x Iran Ceasefire
W
3%
Yes
W
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027?
$70k Vol.
$11k Liq.
6
Ends in about 1 year
$70k Vol.$11k Liq.6Ends in about 1 year
6%
Yes
K
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?
$438k Vol.
$34k Liq.
11
Ends in about 1 month
$438k Vol.$34k Liq.11Ends in about 1 month
51%
May 15
W
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?
$242k Vol.
$21k Liq.
27
Ends in 9 months
$242k Vol.$21k Liq.27Ends in 9 months
29%
Yes
W
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?
$24k Vol.
$10k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$24k Vol.$10k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
18%
Yes
F
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
$74k Vol.
$19k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$74k Vol.$19k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
16%
Yes
W
NBA Draft · Sports
Will the NBA alter draft lottery rules?
$40 Vol.
$86 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$40 Vol.$86 Liq.Ends in 3 months
51%
Yes
I
98%
Stratton 6–9%
S
48%
3.0%+
E
Ethiopia Parliamentary Election Winner
$2k Vol.
$17k Liq.
7
Ends in about 2 months
$2k Vol.$17k Liq.7Ends in about 2 months
92%
Prosperity
U
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by...?
$108k Vol.
$2k Liq.
54
Ends in 3 months
$108k Vol.$2k Liq.54Ends in 3 months
71%
Yes
W
Which CEOs will be out before 2027?
$545k Vol.
$48k Liq.
22
Ends in 9 months
$545k Vol.$48k Liq.22Ends in 9 months
34%
Dan Clancy - Twitch
V
yale · NCAA
Vicky Chun out as Yale AD by June 30, 2026?
$144 Vol.
$811 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$144 Vol.$811 Liq.Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
U
U.S. Congress member out over Epstein files by April 30?
$6k Vol.
$9k Liq.
2
Ends in 28 days
$6k Vol.$9k Liq.2Ends in 28 days
4%
Yes
C
Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?
$12k Vol.
$14k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$12k Vol.$14k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
17%
Yes