Board Resignations Predictions & Odds· 127 markets
Which countries will join the Board of Peace by March 31?
$3.4m Vol.
$152k Liq.
132
Ends in about 11 hours
$3.4m Vol.$152k Liq.132Ends in about 11 hours
2%
India
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
$117k Vol.
$22k Liq.
8
Ends in 9 months
$117k Vol.$22k Liq.8Ends in 9 months
71%
December 31
Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?
$15.7m Vol.
$1.8m Liq.
🔥$369k today
72
Ends in 7 months
$15.7m Vol.🔥$369k today$1.8m Liq.72Ends in 7 months
95%
Kevin Warsh
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?
$435k Vol.
$24k Liq.
11
Ends in about 2 months
$435k Vol.$24k Liq.11Ends in about 2 months
53%
May 15
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
$70k Vol.
$20k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$70k Vol.$20k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
20%
Yes
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$97k Vol.
$34k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$97k Vol.$34k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
53%
US x Iran Ceasefire
4%
Yes
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?
$240k Vol.
$27k Liq.
27
Ends in 9 months
$240k Vol.$27k Liq.27Ends in 9 months
41%
Yes
98%
Stratton 6–9%
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027?
$67k Vol.
$8k Liq.
6
Ends in about 1 year
$67k Vol.$8k Liq.6Ends in about 1 year
7%
Yes
NBA Draft · Sports
Will the NBA alter draft lottery rules?
$15 Vol.
$222 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$15 Vol.$222 Liq.Ends in 3 months
72%
Yes
17%
Yes
28%
2.1% to 2.3%
Ethiopia Parliamentary Election Winner
$2k Vol.
$22k Liq.
7
Ends in 2 months
$2k Vol.$22k Liq.7Ends in 2 months
92%
Prosperity
Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by March 31?
$198k Vol.
$8k Liq.
6
Ends in about 11 hours
$198k Vol.$8k Liq.6Ends in about 11 hours
1%
Yes
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by...?
$107k Vol.
$4k Liq.
54
Ends in 3 months
$107k Vol.$4k Liq.54Ends in 3 months
76%
Yes
Which CEOs will be out before 2027?
$534k Vol.
$43k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months
$534k Vol.$43k Liq.15Ends in 9 months
36%
Dan Clancy - Twitch
yale · NCAA
Vicky Chun out as Yale AD by June 30, 2026?
$144 Vol.
$814 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$144 Vol.$814 Liq.Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
U.S. Congress member out over Epstein files by April 30?
$6k Vol.
$3k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$6k Vol.$3k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
10%
Yes
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?
$403k Vol.
$105k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$403k Vol.$105k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
61%
Kristi Noem